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The No. 5 Michigan Wolverines (6-0) and No. 10 Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) will battle in clash of Big Ten rivals at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Michigan vs. Penn State Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with bookmakers listing Michigan as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Michigan has -279 odds to pick up the win, while Penn State is listed at +220 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 49 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Michigan vs. Penn State Live?
- Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
- Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Ann Arbor, Michigan
- Stadium: Michigan Stadium
Betting Preview
Michigan
Michigan sports the 31st-ranked offense this year (458.7 yards per game), and has been even more effective defensively, ranking fifth-best with just 247.0 yards allowed per game. Michigan has been a tough matchup for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (seventh-best with 43.0 points per game) and scoring defense (fifth-best with 11.3 points allowed per game) this year. Michigan has the 70th-ranked offense this season in terms of passing yards (246.3 passing yards per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 10th-best with only 165.3 passing yards allowed per game. Michigan has been a tough matchup for opposing teams in the running game, ranking top-25 in both rushing offense (19th-best with 212.3 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (seventh-best with 81.7 rushing yards allowed per game) this year. On the defensive side of the ball, Michigan has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 23rd-best by allowing a 31.0% third-down conversion rate. The team’s offense ranks 37th (45.5% third-down conversion rate). Michigan has forced seven total turnovers (85th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over three times (fifth in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +4, the 24th-best in college football.
Penn State
From an offensive standpoint, Penn State is accumulating 443.6 total yards per game (39th-ranked). It ranks 37th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (341.6 total yards given up per game). Penn State has been excelling on the defensive side of the ball, allowing just 14.8 points per contest (13th-best). Offensively, it ranks 37th by posting 34.4 points per game. From an offensive angle, Penn State is putting up 251.0 passing yards per game (61st-ranked). It ranks 100th in the FBS defensively (260.2 passing yards surrendered per game). Penn State’s run defense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks fifth-best in the FBS with 81.4 rushing yards surrendered per game. In terms of offense, it is generating 192.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks 33rd. Penn State’s third-down defense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 20th-best in the FBS with a 30.3% third-down conversion percentage allowed. In terms of offense, it is posting a 33.8% third-down rate, which ranks 105th. Penn State has compiled 12 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over six times, resulting in a +6 turnover margin, which ranks 15th-best in the FBS.
Michigan vs. Penn State Betting Analysis
Michigan Betting Insights
Michigan has gone 3-3-0 against the spread this season. In games this season when favored by 7 points or more, Michigan has gone 3-3 against the spread. Games involving Michigan have yet to hit the over this season. The Wolverines have not yet lost a game they were the moneyline favorite this season, going 5-0. The Wolverines have won all five games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -279 or shorter.
Nittany Lions Betting Insights
Penn State has put together a record of 3-2-0 against the spread this year. Penn State’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this year. The Nittany Lions have not played a game this season while listed as the underdog. The Nittany Lions have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +220 moneyline set for this game.
Michigan vs. Penn State Against The Spread & Betting Records
Michigan
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 58.7 | 63.1 | 49.8 |
| Implied Total AVG | 44.5 | 50.0 | 33.5 |
| ATS Record | 3-3-0 | 2-2-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 0-5-1 | 0-3-1 | 0-2-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 5-0 | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Nittany Lions
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 53.5 | 55.5 | 50.5 |
| Implied Total AVG | 35.8 | 41.7 | 27.0 |
| ATS Record | 3-2-0 | 1-2-0 | 2-0-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 3-2-0 | 1-2-0 | 2-0-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 5-0 | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Players to Watch
Michigan
- Mike Morris has hit the gridiron for six games, delivering 5.0 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL and 11 tackles for the Wolverines.
- Junior Colson has hit the gridiron for six games, recording 43 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack for the Wolverines.
- As part of the Wolverines’ defense, Michael Barrett has delivered 28 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two sacks in six games.
- Rod Moore, as part of the Wolverines’ defense, has posted 0.5 sacks to go with 21 tackles and two interceptions in six games.
Nittany Lions
- In five games for the Nittany Lions, Ji’Ayir Brown has delivered 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL, 23 tackles, and two interceptions.
- In five games for the Nittany Lions, Zakee Wheatley has collected two interceptions to go with 12 tackles and two passes defended.
- John Dixon has been providing a big boost on defense, posting 2.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL, seven tackles, and one interception for the Nittany Lions.
- With 14 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack in five games, Abdul Carter has been wreaking havoc on defense for the Nittany Lions.
Michigan vs. Penn State Predictions and Pick
Michigan vs. Penn State betting card
- Pick ATS:
Nittany Lions (+7)
Pick OU:
Over (49)
How to Bet on Michigan vs. Penn State
You can bet on Michigan vs. Penn State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.
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Our prediction to win this contest is Michigan, and we project that Penn State will cover the spread (Michigan -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 49 points.