Indiana vs. Milwaukee Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Tuesday, April 30, 2024

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The Indiana Pacers will meet the Milwaukee Bucks in a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs.

The Pacers play the Bucks. The Pacers are favored by 4 points against the Bucks. The game features an over/under of 216.

Pacers vs. Bucks Odds

Point Spread for Pacers vs. Bucks

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with oddsmakers listing the Pacers as the favorite.

Indiana vs. Milwaukee Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Indiana has -180 odds to win the game, while Milwaukee is listed at +150 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 216 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Tuesday, April 30, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
  • Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • TV: TNT

Pacers vs. Bucks Betting Trends

The Pacers have covered the spread in a game 44 times this season (44-35-3). Indiana has entered the game as favorites 44 times this season and won 27, or 61.4%, of those games. Pacers games have gone over the total 42 times this season.

The Bucks have compiled a 35-46-1 record against the spread this year. Milwaukee has been an underdog in 15 games this season and has come away with the win four times (26.7%) in those contests. Games involving the Bucks have hit the over 41 times this season.

Pacers vs. Bucks Key Players to Watch

Pacers

Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.7 points, 4.3 assists and 7.1 boards per contest. Tyrese Haliburton posts 20.1 points, 3.9 boards and 10.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.7 blocks. Myles Turner averages 17.1 points, 6.9 boards and 1.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 1.9 blocks (ninth in NBA). T.J. McConnell is putting up 10.2 points, 5.5 assists and 2.7 boards per contest.

Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo gets the Bucks 30.4 points, 11.5 boards and 6.5 assists per contest. He also averages 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocks. Damian Lillard contributes with 24.3 points per game, plus 4.4 boards and 7.0 assists. The Bucks receive 13.8 points, 7.4 boards and 1.3 assists per game from Bobby Portis. Brook Lopez gives the Bucks 12.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, plus 0.5 steals and 2.4 blocks (second in league).

What you need to know about the Pacers

Because of the Pacers’ defensive struggles this season, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA with 120.2 points allowed per game, they’ve had to rely on their offense, which ranks best in the league posting 123.3 points per game. While the Pacers rank in the bottom five in the NBA in rebounds per game with 41.5 (third-worst), they rank 15th in the league with 43.4 rebounds allowed per game. The Pacers have been piling up assists in 2023-24, ranking best in the NBA with 30.8 assists per contest.

Offensively Indiana has performed better in home games this year, putting up 125.5 points per game, compared to 121.0 per game away from home. Indiana is making 13.2 three-pointers per game (10th-ranked in NBA) this year, while sporting a 37.4% three-point percentage (ninth-ranked). Indiana is allowing opposing teams to post a 36.5% three-point percentage this year (16th-ranked in NBA), but it has thrived by giving up only 10.7 treys per contest (best).

The Pacers have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. Indiana has hit the over in eight of its past 10 contests. On offense, the Pacers have picked up their output a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 123.7 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 123.3 they’ve racked up over the course of this year. Indiana’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (115.7) is 4.5 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (120.2).

What you need to know about the Bucks

Offensively, the Bucks are the fourth-best team in the NBA (119.0 points per game). Defensively, they are 21st (116.4 points conceded per game). On the glass, Milwaukee is eighth in the league in rebounds (44.2 per game). It is 18th in rebounds conceded (44.0 per game). The Bucks are 17th in the league in assists (26.5 per game) in 2023-24.

At home the Bucks are putting up 121.2 points per game, 4.5 more than they are averaging away (116.7). Beyond the arc, the Bucks are fifth-best in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (14.2). They are 11th in 3-point percentage at 37.3%. In 2023-24, Milwaukee is 12th in the NBA in 3-pointers conceded (12.6 per game) and ninth in defensive 3-point percentage (35.6%).

The Bucks have gone 3-7 over their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Milwaukee has gone over the total six times. Milwaukee is scoring 108.4 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 10.6 fewer points than its average for the season (119.0). While the Bucks are surrendering 116.4 points per game in 2023-24, they have improved that mark over their past 10 games, allowing 113.3 points per contest.

Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Bucks, and we predict that Bucks will cover the spread (Pacers -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 216 points.

How to bet Pacers vs. Bucks

You can bet on Indiana vs. Milwaukee at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Indiana vs. Milwaukee picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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