Miami vs. Toronto Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, April 14, 2024

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The Toronto Raptors (25-56) will be attempting to end a three-game losing skid when hitting the road against the Miami Heat (45-36) on April 14, 2024 at FTX Arena.

The Heat are a double-digit favorite against the Raptors when the Heat and the Raptors square off. The Heat are favored by 15 points. The matchup’s over/under is set at 220.

Heat vs. Raptors Odds

Point Spread for Heat vs. Raptors

The spread for this matchup is set at 15 points, with bookmakers listing the Heat as the favorite.

Miami vs. Toronto Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Miami has -1450 odds to win the game, while Toronto is listed at +850 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 220 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, April 14, 2024 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
  • TV: BSSU

Heat vs. Raptors Betting Trends

The Heat have registered a 40-38-3 record against the spread this season. Miami has been the favorite in 46 games this season and won 34 (73.9%) of those contests. This season, Heat games have hit the over 34 times.

The Raptors are 34-46-1 against the spread this season. Toronto has been chosen as underdogs in 57 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (19.3%) in those games. Raptors games have gone over the total 41 times this year.

Heat vs. Raptors Key Players to Watch

Heat

Bam Adebayo’s numbers for the season are 19.3 points, 3.9 assists and 10.4 boards per game. Jimmy Butler’s numbers for the season are 20.9 points, 5.3 boards and 5.0 assists per contest, shooting 49.7% from the field and 41.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 made 3-pointers per game. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is posting 11.8 points, 2.6 assists and 3.8 boards per contest. Duncan Robinson is posting 12.9 points, 2.8 assists and 2.6 boards per contest.

Raptors

RJ Barrett’s averages for the season are 20.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 3.3 assists, making 49.5% of his shots from the field and 36.0% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 triples per game. Kelly Olynyk averages 9.8 points, 5.2 boards and 4.5 assists, making 55.5% of his shots from the field. Gary Trent Jr.’s numbers for the season are 13.7 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, making 42.6% of his shots from the floor and 39.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.5 treys per contest. Bruce Brown gives the Raptors 10.9 points, 4.3 boards and 2.9 assists per game, plus 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocks.

What you need to know about the Heat

The Heat have had to lean on their defense, which ranks third-best in the NBA (108.5 points allowed per game), as they rank fourth-worst in the league on offense with only 110.0 points per contest. The Heat have struggled to rack up rebounds this season, ranking fifth-worst in the league with 42.2 rebounds per game. They rank 11th by allowing 42.8 rebounds per contest. This year, the Heat rank 18th in the league in assists, delivering 25.8 per game.

Miami posts 112.0 points per game when playing at home, compared to 108.1 points per game in away games, a difference of 3.9 points per contest. Miami ranks 18th in the NBA with 12.5 threes per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 12th with a 37.1% shooting percentage from downtown. Miami is 16th in the NBA with 13.0 treys allowed per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks sixth with a 35.4% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Heat have a 6-3-1 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests. Eight of Miami’s last 10 games have gone over the total. In their last 10 games, the Heat have been putting up 113.5 points per game, an average that’s slightly higher than the 110.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Miami’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (105.6) is 2.9 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (108.5).

What you need to know about the Raptors

The Raptors are 21st in the NBA in points scored (112.5 per game) and 24th in points conceded (118.8). In 2023-24, Toronto is 22nd in the league in rebounds (42.7 per game) and fifth-worst in rebounds allowed (45.2). This season the Raptors are fifth-best in the NBA in assists at 28.5 per game.

At home, the Raptors average 110.4 points per game. Away, they score 114.6. The Raptors are the fifth-worst team in the NBA in 3-pointers made (11.5 per game) and fifth-worst in 3-point percentage (34.8%). Defensively, Toronto is fifth-worst in the league in 3-pointers conceded per game at 13.7. And it is fifth-worst in 3-point percentage conceded at 37.8%.

The Raptors are 3-7 against the spread and 2-8 overall in their past 10 games. Toronto has gone over the total in seven of its past 10 outings. Over its previous 10 games, Toronto is tallying 108.0 points per game, compared to its season average of 112.5. The Raptors are giving up 124.1 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 5.3 more points than they are allowing for the season (118.8).

Heat vs. Raptors Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Heat, and we predict that Raptors will cover the spread (Heat -15). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 220 points.

How to bet Heat vs. Raptors

You can bet on Miami vs. Toronto at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Miami vs. Toronto picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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