Oklahoma City vs. New Orleans Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, April 29, 2024

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The Oklahoma City Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans are meeting in the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, with a decisive Game 4 coming up.

The Thunder hit the court as 5-point favorites against the Pelicans. The game features an over/under of 206.5.

Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds

Point Spread for Thunder vs. Pelicans

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Thunder as the favorite.

Oklahoma City vs. New Orleans Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Oklahoma City has -192 odds to win the game, while New Orleans is listed at +160 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 206.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Monday, April 29, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana
  • TV: NBA

Thunder vs. Pelicans Betting Trends

The Thunder have gone 46-35-1 against the spread this season. Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 61 games this season and won 47 (77%) of those contests. Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 43 times this season.

The Pelicans have put together a record of 44-36-2 against the spread this year. New Orleans has won in 18, or 56.2%, of the 32 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. Games involving the Pelicans have hit the over 36 times this year.

Thunder vs. Pelicans Key Players to Watch

Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 30.1 points, 5.5 boards and 6.2 assists per contest, making 53.5% of shots from the floor and 35.3% from downtown with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest. Chet Holmgren’s numbers on the season are 16.5 points, 7.9 boards and 2.4 assists per contest, shooting 53.0% from the floor and 37.0% from downtown, with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game. Jalen Williams posts 19.1 points, 4.0 boards and 4.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.6 blocks. Josh Giddey’s numbers on the season are 12.3 points, 6.4 boards and 4.8 assists per contest, shooting 47.5% from the floor and 33.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 made 3-pointers per game.

Pelicans

Brandon Ingram gives the Pelicans 20.8 points, 5.1 boards and 5.7 assists per contest. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocks. CJ McCollum gives 20.0 points, 4.3 boards and 4.6 assists per game, plus 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocks. The Pelicans get 12.2 points per game from Jonas Valanciunas, plus 8.8 boards and 2.1 assists. Herbert Jones’ averages for the season are 11.0 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists, making 49.8% of his shots from the field and 41.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per contest.

What you need to know about the Thunder

The Thunder have a top-five offense this season, ranking third-best in the league with 120.1 points per game. On defense, they rank 11th with 112.7 points allowed per contest. The Thunder have found it difficult to accumulate rebounds this season, ranking fourth-worst in the league with 42.0 boards per game. They rank 23rd by allowing 44.7 boards per contest. The Thunder are putting up 27.1 assists per game, which ranks them 11th in the NBA in 2023-24.

Oklahoma City is averaging 123.1 points per game at home. In away games, it is averaging 117.0 points per contest. Oklahoma City ranks best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 38.9%. It ranks eighth in the league by draining 13.3 threes per contest. Oklahoma City is giving up 13.4 treys per game (22nd-ranked in league). It is allowing opponents to shoot 36.1% (12th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Thunder have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Oklahoma City has gone over the total five times. In their last 10 games, the Thunder have been scoring 115.6 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 120.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. The last 10 games have seen Oklahoma City give up 9.2 fewer points per game (103.5) than its season-long average (112.7).

What you need to know about the Pelicans

The Pelicans score 115.1 points per game and give up 110.7, making them 13th in the league offensively and eighth on defense. With 44.0 rebounds per game and 42.3 rebounds allowed, New Orleans is 12th and seventh in the league, respectively. The Pelicans are 12th in the league in assists (27.0 per game) in 2023-24.

At home the Pelicans are putting up 114.9 points per game, 0.4 fewer points than they are averaging on the road (115.3). Beyond the arc, the Pelicans are 18th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (12.5). They are fourth-best in 3-point percentage at 38.3%. Defensively, New Orleans is 24th in the league in 3-pointers conceded per game at 13.5. It is second-best in 3-point percentage conceded at 34.9%.

The Pelicans are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their last 10 games. New Orleans has hit the over in five of its last 10 games. While New Orleans is posting 115.1 points per game in 2023-24, it has fallen short of that in its last 10 games, producing 106.6 points per contest. The Pelicans are allowing 111.3 points per contest over their past 10 games, which is 0.6 more points than they are allowing for the season (110.7).

Thunder vs. Pelicans Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Thunder, and we project that Pelicans will cover the spread (Thunder -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 206.5 points.

How to bet Thunder vs. Pelicans

You can bet on Oklahoma City vs. New Orleans at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Oklahoma City vs. New Orleans picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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