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Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (43-29) go up against De’Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (42-30) on March 29, 2024 at Golden 1 Center on NBCS.
The Kings are just a 1.5-point favorite when they and the Mavericks take the court in a game projected to be a close matchup. The matchup features an over/under of 231.5.
Kings vs. Mavericks Odds
Point Spread for Kings vs. Mavericks
The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Kings as the favorite.
Sacramento vs. Dallas Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Sacramento has -115 odds to win the game, while Dallas is listed at -105 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 231.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Friday, March 29, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET
- Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
- TV: NBCS
Kings vs. Mavericks Betting Trends
The Kings have put together a 36-35-1 record against the spread this season. Sacramento has won 30, or 61.2%, of the 49 games it has played as the favorite this season. This season, 33 of the Kings’ games have gone over the point total.
The Mavericks have covered the spread 41 times over 72 games with a set spread. Dallas has come away with 11 wins in the 29 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season. Mavericks games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 33 times this season.
Kings vs. Mavericks Key Players to Watch
Kings
Domantas Sabonis averages 19.7 points, 13.7 boards and 8.3 assists per game, making 60.4% of shots from the field (seventh in NBA). Fox is posting 26.5 points, 5.6 assists and 4.5 boards per game. Malik Monk is putting up 15.6 points, 5.2 assists and 3.0 boards per game. Keegan Murray is putting up 14.9 points, 1.7 assists and 5.3 boards per contest.
Mavericks
Doncic’s averages for the season are 33.9 points, 9.1 rebounds and 9.8 assists, making 48.7% of his shots from the field and 37.4% from beyond the arc, with 3.9 triples per contest (second in league). Kyrie Irving gets 25.3 points, 5.0 boards and 5.3 assists per game, plus 1.3 steals and 0.4 blocks. Tim Hardaway Jr. gets the Mavericks 15.4 points, 3.3 boards and 1.8 assists per game, plus 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocks. The Mavericks get 10.9 points, 8.0 boards and 1.5 assists per game from Daniel Gafford.
What you need to know about the Kings
On offense, the Kings are putting up 117.3 points per game (ninth-ranked in league). They are ceding 116.3 points per contest on defense (19th-ranked). With 43.7 rebounds per game, the Kings are 15th in the NBA. They allow 42.5 rebounds per contest, which ranks ninth in the league. The Kings rank seventh in the NBA with 28.5 dimes per contest.
Sacramento scores 119.1 points per game when playing at home, compared to 115.6 points per game on the road, a difference of 3.5 points per contest. Sacramento ranks fifth-best in the NBA by draining 14.1 threes per game. In terms of three-point percentage, it ranks 17th in the league at 36.4%. Sacramento ranks second-worst in the NBA with a 39.2% shooting percentage allowed from downtown. Meanwhile, it is giving up 13.2 treys per game (18th-ranked in league).
The Kings are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Sacramento has gone over the total once. The Kings have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 110.3 points per game in their last 10 contests, 7.0 points fewer than the 117.3 they’ve scored this season. Sacramento has been locking down opponents on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 105.5 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 116.3 it has conceded per game this year.
What you need to know about the Mavericks
On offense the Mavericks are the sixth-ranked squad in the NBA (118.8 points per game). On defense they are 20th (116.6 points allowed per game). In 2023-24, Dallas is 21st in the NBA in rebounds (42.6 per game) and 25th in rebounds allowed (45.0). This season the Mavericks are ranked 20th in the league in assists at 25.8 per game.
In 2023-24 the Mavericks are averaging 1.0 more points per game at home (119.3) than on the road (118.3). In 2023-24 the Mavericks are third-best in the NBA in 3-point makes (14.6 per game), and they rank No. 11 in 3-point percentage (37.0%). Dallas is 17th in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (13.1 per game) and 18th in 3-point percentage defensively (36.7%).
The Mavericks are 9-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their last 10 contests. Dallas has gone over the total twice in its past 10 contests. In its previous 10 games, Dallas is scoring 119.1 points per contest, 0.3 more than its season average (118.8). In their past 10 games, the Mavericks are surrendering 105.9 points per contest, compared to their season average of 116.6 points allowed.
Kings vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is Kings, and we expect that Kings will cover the spread (Kings -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 231.5 points.
How to bet Kings vs. Mavericks
You can bet on Sacramento vs. Dallas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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