Utah vs. USC Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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Pac-12 rivals will battle when the No. 20 Utah Utes (4-2) meet the No. 7 USC Trojans (6-0).

Utah vs. USC Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing Utah as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Utah has -169 odds to pick up the win, while USC is listed at +137 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 65 points.


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Game Info

How to Watch Utah vs. USC Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Salt Lake City, Utah
  • Stadium: Rice-Eccles Stadium

Betting Preview


Utah ranks 32nd in total offense this season (458.0 yards per game), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking 21st-best in the FBS with 458.0 yards allowed per game. On the offensive side of the ball, Utah has been a top-25 unit, ranking 15th-best in the FBS by putting up 40.3 points per game. The Utes rank 28th on defense (19.0 points allowed per game). On defense, Utah has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking 18th-best by surrendering just 179.3 passing yards per game. The Utes rank 54th on offense (256.3 passing yards per game). Utah is averaging 201.7 rushing yards per game on offense (27th in the FBS), and ranks 58th on defense with 136.5 rushing yards allowed per game. Utah owns the 30th-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (31.9% third-down conversion rate allowed), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 20th-best with a 48.7% third-down percentage. Utah has forced 13 total turnovers (eighth in the FBS) this season and have turned it over six times (29th in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +7, the 10th-best in college football.


With 461.8 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, USC ranks 26th in the FBS in 2022. On defense, it ranks 44th, surrendering 351.5 total yards per contest. USC has been a top-25 unit on both offense and defense this season, as it ranks 16th-best in points per game (40.2) and 25th-best in points allowed per game (18.7). USC ranks 27th in the FBS with 278.5 passing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 35th with 198.8 passing yards given up per game on the defensive side of the ball. USC is posting 183.3 rushing yards per game on offense this season (42nd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 152.7 rushing yards per contest (82nd-ranked) on defense. USC’s third-down defense ranks 78th in the FBS with a 39.5% third-down conversion percentage given up, but it has been led by its offense, which ranks seventh-best by posting a 52.2% third-down rate. Regarding turnover margin, USC is the best in the FBS this season. The team’s margin checks in at +14, as it has forced 15 turnovers and committed one.

Utah vs. USC Betting Analysis

Utah Betting Insights

Utah is 4-2-0 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 3.5-point favorites or more, Utah has a perfect ATS record of 4-0. This season, four Utah games have gone over the point total. The Utes have won three of the five games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (60%). The Utes have played in three games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -169 or shorter and won each time.

Trojans Betting Insights

USC has covered the spread four times in six games with a set total. This year, USC games have hit the over three times. The Trojans will play as the underdog for the first time this season. The Trojans have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +137 moneyline set for this game.


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Utah vs. USC Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.3 54.2 56.5
Implied Total AVG 36.5 41.0 32.0
ATS Record 4-2-0 3-0-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-2-0 2-1-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-2 2-0 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 65.7 64.5 68.0
Implied Total AVG 40.8 42.5 37.5
ATS Record 4-2-0 3-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-3-0 2-2-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-0 4-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch


  • As part of the Utes’ defense, R.J. Hubert has totaled 31 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two interceptions in six games.
  • The Utes’ defense has been helped by Karene Reid, who has suited up for six games and posted 1.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL, 27 tackles, and one interception.
  • Clark Phillips III has hit the gridiron for six games, amassing 11 tackles and five interceptions for the Utes.
  • Van Fillinger has been a significant piece of the Utes’ defensive unit in 2022, with 13 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in six games.


  • Tuli Tuipulotu has compiled 17 tackles, 10.0 TFL, seven sacks, and one pass defended in six games for the Trojans.
  • Eric Gentry has registered 40 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in six games for the Trojans.
  • Shane Lee has been wreaking havoc on defense, collecting 1.5 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL, 33 tackles, and one interception for the Trojans.
  • On defense, Mekhi Blackmon has racked up 27 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two interceptions in six games.

Utah vs. USC Predictions and Pick

Utah vs. USC betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Trojans (+3.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (65)


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How to Bet on Utah vs. USC

You can bet on Utah vs. USC at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Utah vs. USC picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is USC, and we project that USC will cover the spread (Utah -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 65 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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