USC vs. Arizona State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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Pac-12 opponents will do battle when the No. 6 USC Trojans (3-0) face the Arizona State Sun Devils (1-2) at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, California.

USC vs. Arizona State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 26.5 points, with sportsbooks listing USC as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, USC has -7045 odds to pick up the win, while Arizona State is listed at +1472 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 60 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch USC vs. Arizona State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Betting Preview

USC

USC owns the 78th-ranked defense this year (380.7 yards allowed per game), and has been better on offense, ranking eighth-best with a tally of 520.0 yards per game. Offensively, USC has been a top-25 unit, ranking second-best in the FBS by compiling 50.7 points per game. The Trojans rank 39th on defense (19.7 points allowed per game). USC owns the 53rd-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (203.7 allowed per game), and has been better on offense, ranking 18th-best with 318.3 passing yards per game. USC is compiling 201.7 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 32nd in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 105th, surrendering 177.0 rushing yards per game. USC is putting up a 48.1% third-down conversion rate on offense (31st in the FBS), and ranks 67th on the other side of the ball with a 36.8% third-down percentage allowed. USC has forced 10 total turnovers (fifth in the FBS) this season and have turned it over zero times (100th in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +10, the best in college football.

Arizona State

From an offensive perspective, Arizona State is posting 376.0 total yards per contest (90th-ranked). It ranks 56th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (351.0 total yards surrendered per game). With 26.0 points per game on offense, Arizona State ranks 93rd in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 56th, surrendering 22.3 points per game. Arizona State ranks 25th-worst in passing yards per game on offense (186.7), but at least it has been playing well on the other side of the ball, ranking 23rd-best in passing yards allowed per contest (172.7). From an offensive angle, Arizona State is posting 189.3 rushing yards per contest (46th-ranked). It ranks 106th in the FBS on defense (178.3 rushing yards allowed per game). Arizona State has struggled on both sides of the ball on third down this season, ranking eighth-worst in third-down conversion percentage (25.7%) and 21st-worst in third-down percentage allowed (44.4%). After forcing four turnovers (84th in the FBS) and turning the ball over three times (25th in the FBS) this season, Arizona State has the 45th-ranked turnover margin of +1.

USC vs. Arizona State Betting Analysis

USC Betting Insights

USC has registered a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season. In games they have played as 26.5-point favorites or more, USC has a perfect ATS record of 1-0. Games involving the USC have hit the over twice this season. The Trojans have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of four times this season, and they’ve won all of those games. The Trojans have played as a moneyline favorite of -7045 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Sun Devils Betting Insights

Arizona State has put together a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season. Arizona State games have yet to go over the total once this year. The Sun Devils have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Sun Devils have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +1472 moneyline set for this game.

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USC vs. Arizona State Against The Spread & Betting Records

USC

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 67.3 66.5 68.0
Implied Total AVG 41.0 44.5 37.5
ATS Record 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-0 2-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Sun Devils

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.1 54.2 58.0
Implied Total AVG 37.0 37.7 35.0
ATS Record 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 0-4-0 0-3-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Players to Watch

USC

  • With 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL, 28 tackles, and one interception in four games, Shane Lee has been a significant part of the Trojans’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Eric Gentry has helped lead the Trojans’ defense with 0.5 sacks to go along with 29 tackles and one interception in four games.
  • With 11 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks in four games, Tuli Tuipulotu has been a significant part of the Trojans’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Max Williams, as part of the Trojans’ defense, has registered 21 tackles and two interceptions in four games.

Sun Devils

  • Kyle Soelle has been doing his part on defense, compiling two interceptions to go with 30 tackles and two passes defended for the Sun Devils.
  • On defense, Merlin Robertson has helped lead the way with 23 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack in four games.
  • The Sun Devils’ Khoury Bethley has totaled 19 tackles and 2.0 TFL in four games.
  • Nesta Jade Silvera has posted 21 tackles in four games for the Sun Devils.

USC vs. Arizona State Predictions and Pick

USC vs. Arizona State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Trojans (-26.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (60)

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How to Bet on USC vs. Arizona State

You can bet on USC vs. Arizona State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s USC vs. Arizona State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is USC, and we expect that USC will cover the spread (USC -26.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 60 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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