Tulane vs. SMU Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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The No. 21 Tulane Green Wave (8-2) and SMU Mustangs (6-4) will battle in clash of AAC opponents at Yulman Stadium in New Orleans, Louisiana.

Tulane vs. SMU Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Tulane as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tulane has -167 odds to pick up the win, while SMU is listed at +137 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 66 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Tulane vs. SMU Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, November 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Yulman Stadium

Betting Preview

Tulane

On defense, Tulane has been a top-25 unit, ranking 21st-best by giving up only 323.4 yards per game. The offense ranks 47th (416.0 yards per game). Defensively, Tulane has been a top-25 unit, ranking 16th-best by allowing just 19.0 points per game. The offense ranks 37th (32.7 points per game). Tulane ranks 57th in passing yards this season (238.2 per game), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 12th-best in the FBS with 175.5 passing yards allowed per game. Tulane is totaling 177.8 rushing yards per game on offense (49th in the FBS), and ranks 67th on defense with 147.9 rushing yards allowed per game. Tulane is putting up a 41.4% third-down percentage on offense (54th in the FBS), and ranks 37th defensively with a 34.9% third-down percentage allowed. With 13 forced turnovers (77th in the FBS) against 10 turnovers committed (16th in the FBS), Tulane’s +3+3 turnover margin ranks 41st in college football.

SMU

While SMU’s defense has had trouble stopping opposing offenses, ranking 13th-worst by surrendering 446.2 total yards per game, its offense ranks 11th-best with 486.4 total yards per contest. SMU ranks 16th-worst in points allowed per game on defense (32.6), but at least it has been surging on the offensive side of the ball, ranking ninth-best in points per contest (40.3). SMU’s pass defense ranks 96th in the FBS with 248.6 passing yards surrendered per game, but it has been lifted up by its offense, which ranks seventh-best by racking up 325.9 passing yards per game. SMU has been struggling against the run, ranking 15th-worst with 197.6 rushing yards surrendered per game. It has been more effective offensively, generating 160.5 rushing yards per contest (59th-ranked). SMU ranks 29th in the FBS with a 45.6% third-down conversion rate on offense, and 49th with a 36.6% third-down percentage allowed on defense. With 15 forced turnovers (52nd in the FBS) and 14 turnovers committed (60th in the FBS) this season, SMU ranks 61st in the FBS with a turnover margin of +1.

Tulane vs. SMU Betting Analysis

Tulane Betting Insights

Tulane has covered the spread in a matchup eight times this season (8-2-0). Tulane is 5-1 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites. Tulane games have gone over the total four times this season. The Green Wave have won six of the eight games they were favored on the moneyline this season (75%). When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -167 or shorter, the Green Wave have a record of 3-0 (83.3%).

Mustangs Betting Insights

SMU is 5-5-0 against the spread this season. SMU is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs. This season, SMU games have hit the over four times. The Mustangs have been listed as the underdog four times this season and have failed to win any of those games. This season, the Mustangs have won one of their two games when they’re the underdog by at least +137 on the moneyline.

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Tulane vs. SMU Against The Spread & Betting Records

Tulane

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.4 55.3 53.1
Implied Total AVG 33.6 35.0 31.5
ATS Record 8-2-0 4-2-0 4-0-0
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 3-3-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-2 4-2 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-0 0-0 2-0

Mustangs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 66.1 63.9 68.2
Implied Total AVG 38.6 39.4 37.8
ATS Record 5-5-0 2-3-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 3-2-0 1-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-0 2-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-2 0-2

Players to Watch

Tulane

  • As part of the Green Wave’s defense, Dorian Williams has registered 62 tackles, 5.0 TFL, four sacks, and one interception in 10 games.
  • Macon Clark has helped carry the Green Wave’s defense with 7.0 TFL, 44 tackles, and two interceptions in 10 games.
  • With 58 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in 10 games, Nick Anderson has been a significant piece of the Green Wave’s defense in 2022.
  • Larry Brooks, as part of the Green Wave’s defense, has delivered 2.0 TFL, 45 tackles, and two interceptions in 10 games.

Mustangs

  • Nick Roberts has been causing chaos on defense, registering three interceptions to go with 39 tackles and three passes defended for the Mustangs.
  • In 10 games for the Mustangs, Nelson Paul has amassed 34 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and five sacks.
  • The Mustangs’ Jimmy Phillips Jr. has compiled 42 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack in 10 games.
  • On defense, Shanon Reid has piled up 33 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one interception in 10 games.

Tulane vs. SMU Predictions and Pick

Tulane vs. SMU betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Mustangs (+3.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (66)

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How to Bet on Tulane vs. SMU

You can bet on Tulane vs. SMU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tulane vs. SMU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Tulane, and we predict that SMU will cover the spread (Tulane -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 66 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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