Toledo vs. Western Michigan Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 25, 2022

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MAC opponents will clash when the Toledo Rockets (7-4) meet the Western Michigan Broncos (4-7).

Toledo vs. Western Michigan Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8 points, with oddsmakers listing Toledo as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Toledo has -303 odds to pick up the win, while Western Michigan is listed at +237 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 51.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Toledo vs. Western Michigan Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, November 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Kalamazoo, Michigan
  • Stadium: Waldo Stadium

Betting Preview

Toledo

Toledo ranks 48th in total offense (413.9 yards per game) and 39th in total defense (351.4 yards allowed per game) this season. Offensively, Toledo has been a top-25 unit, ranking 24th-best in the FBS by totaling 35.1 points per game. The Rockets rank 86th on defense (27.7 points allowed per game). Toledo is averaging 234.3 passing yards per game on offense this season (63rd in the FBS), and is giving up 199.2 passing yards per game (31st) on defense. Toledo is totaling 179.6 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 50th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 71st, allowing 152.2 rushing yards per contest. From an offensive standpoint, Toledo ranks 61st in the FBS with a 39.6% third-down conversion rate. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 49th in third-down percentage allowed (152.2). With 15 forced turnovers (71st in the FBS) against 21 turnovers committed (115th in the FBS), Toledo’s -6-6 turnover margin ranks 100th in college football.

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Western Michigan

Western Michigan’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit in total offense this season, posting 312.3 total yards per game, which ranks 13th-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 41st with 354.0 total yards surrendered per contest. Western Michigan ranks 12th-worst in points per game (18.9), but it has been more productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 55th in the FBS with 25.0 points allowed per contest. Western Michigan ranks 14th-worst in passing yards per game (175.8), but it has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 45th in the FBS with 209.1 passing yards surrendered per contest. In terms of rushing, Western Michigan ranks 87th in the FBS on offense (136.5 rushing yards per game) and 62nd defensively (144.9 rushing yards allowed per contest). While Western Michigan’s third-down offense has been stuck in neutral, ranking 24th-worst with a 34.1% third-down conversion rate, its defense ranks 23rd-best with a 32.9% third-down rate allowed. Western Michigan has accumulated 21 forced turnovers (13th in the FBS) and committed 19 turnovers (100th in the FBS) this season for a +2 turnover margin that ranks 51st in the FBS.

Toledo vs. Western Michigan Betting Analysis

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Toledo Betting Insights

Toledo has covered the spread four times over 10 games with a set spread. Toledo has an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 8-point favorites. This season, Toledo games have hit the over six times. The Rockets have put together a 6-3 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games). The Rockets have a record of 1-1 when they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -303 or shorter (66.7%).

Broncos Betting Insights

Western Michigan has covered the spread in a game five times this season (5-6-0). In games they have played as 8-point underdogs or more, the Broncos have an ATS record of 1-2. Western Michigan’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this year. The Broncos have been underdogs in six games this season and won two (33.3%) of those contests. The Broncos are 1-0 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +237 or more on the moneyline.

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Toledo vs. Western Michigan Against The Spread & Betting Records

Toledo

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.4 53.4 55.4
Implied Total AVG 33.6 34.0 33.2
ATS Record 4-6-0 3-2-0 1-4-0
Over/Under Record 6-4-0 3-2-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-3 4-1 2-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Broncos

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.0 52.9 49.3
Implied Total AVG 29.7 29.8 29.7
ATS Record 5-6-0 1-4-0 4-2-0
Over/Under Record 3-8-0 2-3-0 1-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-3 1-3 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-4 0-1 2-3

Players to Watch

Toledo

  • As part of the Rockets’ defensive unit, Dyontae Johnson has collected 64 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and three sacks in 11 games.
  • The Rockets’ defensive unit has been helped by Dallas Gant, who has played 11 games and collected 4.0 TFL and 63 tackles.
  • Jamal Hines has helped lead the Rockets’ defense with 31 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks in 11 games.
  • With 4.5 sacks to go along with 5.0 TFL, 36 tackles, and one interception, Desjuan Johnson has helped lead the Rockets’ defense over 11 games.

Broncos

  • In 11 games for the Broncos, Andre Carter has posted 5.0 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL, 49 tackles, and one interception.
  • On defense, Corvin Moment has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 49 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks in 11 games.
  • Zaire Barnes has 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL, 57 tackles, and one interception in 11 games.
  • Keni-H Lovely has registered 1.0 sack to go with 4.0 TFL, 33 tackles, and three interceptions in 11 games for the Broncos.

Toledo vs. Western Michigan Predictions and Pick

Toledo vs. Western Michigan betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Rockets (-8)

    Pick OU:

    Over (51.5)

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How to Bet on Toledo vs. Western Michigan

You can bet on Toledo vs. Western Michigan at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Toledo vs. Western Michigan picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Toledo, and we project that Toledo will cover the spread (Toledo -8). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 51.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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