Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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MAC foes will clash when the Toledo Rockets (3-2) meet the Northern Illinois Huskies (1-4).

Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with bookmakers listing Toledo as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Toledo has -212 odds to pick up the win, while Northern Illinois is listed at +175 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 60 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: DeKalb, Illinois
  • Stadium: Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium

Betting Preview


Toledo ranks 75th in total offense (396.6 yards per game) and 43rd in total defense (339.2 yards allowed per game) this year. Toledo is putting up 33.0 points per game on offense, which ranks them 52nd in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, the defense ranks 64th, allowing 24.2 points per game. Toledo ranks 103rd in passing yards this year (203.2 per game), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 24th-best in the FBS with 183.0 passing yards allowed per game. From an offensive standpoint, Toledo ranks 32nd in the FBS with 193.4 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 87th in rushing yards allowed per contest (156.2). Toledo is putting up a 40.3% third-down conversion rate offensively this season (64th in the FBS), and is giving up a 35.8% third-down conversion rate (57th) on defense. Toledo has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -2, forcing six turnovers (82nd in the FBS) while turning it over eight times (77th in the FBS).

Northern Illinois

Northern Illinois’ defense has been bottom-25 in total defense this season, allowing 436.8 total yards per game, which ranks 18th-worst. Offensively, it ranks 77th with 394.2 total yards per contest. Northern Illinois’ defense has been bottom-25 in scoring defense this season, conceding 35.6 points per game, which ranks 14th-worst in the FBS. On the offensive side of the ball, it ranks 66th with 31.6 points per contest. Northern Illinois ranks 95th in passing yards per game (209.4), but it has been worse defensively, ranking third-worst in the FBS with 311.8 passing yards conceded per contest. Northern Illinois is putting up 184.8 rushing yards per game on offense this season (42nd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 125.0 rushing yards per game (50th-ranked) on defense. Northern Illinois ranks 41st in third-down conversion percentage (44.9%) on offense, but it has been less effective defensively, ranking third-worst in the FBS with a 52.9% third-down percentage allowed. With eight forced turnovers (45th in the FBS) and four turnovers committed (17th in the FBS) this season, Northern Illinois ranks 26th in the FBS with a turnover margin of +4.

Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Betting Analysis

Toledo Betting Insights

Toledo has covered the spread two times this season (2-2-0). Toledo is a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites. Toledo games have gone over the total twice this season. The Rockets have won two of the three games they were the moneyline favorite this season (66.7%). The Rockets have played as a moneyline favorite of -212 or shorter in only two games this season, and they won both.

Huskies Betting Insights

Northern Illinois has covered the spread twice in five games with a set number. Northern Illinois has a perfect 2-0 ATS record when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs. This year, each Northern Illinois game has hit the over. The Huskies have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Huskies have entered three games this season as the underdog by +175 or more and are 0-0 in those contests.

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Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.0 52.5 53.5
Implied Total AVG 35.3 35.0 35.5
ATS Record 2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.7 57.0 58.2
Implied Total AVG 36.4 38.0 35.3
ATS Record 2-3-0 0-2-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 5-0-0 2-0-0 3-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-2 0-1 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Players to Watch


  • Dyontae Johnson has suited up for five games, registering 1.0 TFL and 28 tackles for the Rockets.
  • With 28 tackles and 1.0 TFL in five games, Dallas Gant has been a big piece of the Rockets’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • As part of the Rockets’ defense, Maxen Hook has registered 20 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack in five games.
  • A big part of the Rockets’ defensive unit, Chris McDonald has one interception to go with 18 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended in five games.


  • On defense, C.J. Brown has helped keep opposing offenses in check with one interception to go with 27 tackles and one pass defended in five games.
  • The Huskies’ Daveren Rayner has amassed 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL and 31 tackles in five games.
  • Kyle Pugh has compiled 1.0 TFL and 27 tackles in five games for the Huskies.
  • JaVaughn Byrd has totaled 0.5 sacks to go with 16 tackles in five games for the Huskies.

Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Predictions and Pick

Toledo vs. Northern Illinois betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Huskies (+5.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (60)

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How to Bet on Toledo vs. Northern Illinois

You can bet on Toledo vs. Northern Illinois at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Toledo vs. Northern Illinois picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Northern Illinois, and we project that Northern Illinois will cover the spread (Toledo -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 60 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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