Texas Tech vs. Baylor Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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Big 12 opponents will clash when the Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-3) meet the Baylor Bears (4-3).

Texas Tech vs. Baylor Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with bookmakers listing Texas Tech as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas Tech has -121 odds to pick up the win, while Baylor is listed at -101 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 61 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Texas Tech vs. Baylor Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Lubbock, Texas
  • Stadium: Jones AT&T Stadium

Betting Preview

Texas Tech

Texas Tech ranks 45th in total defense this year (354.7 yards allowed per game), but has been thriving on offense, ranking ninth-best in the FBS with 500.0 total yards per game. Offensively, Texas Tech ranks 26th in the FBS with 36.3 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 72nd in points allowed (354.7 points allowed per contest). Texas Tech ranks 54th in pass defense this season (218.9 passing yards allowed per game), but has been shining on offense, ranking third-best in the FBS with 363.7 passing yards per game. Texas Tech ranks 86th in run offense (136.3 rushing yards per game) and 55th in run defense (135.9 rushing yards allowed per game) this season. Texas Tech is averaging a 36.2% third-down conversion rate on offense (95th in the FBS), and ranks 27th defensively with a 32.7% third-down conversion rate allowed. With 10 forced turnovers (74th in the FBS) against 13 turnovers committed (92nd in the FBS), Texas Tech (-3) has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football.

Baylor

From an offensive angle, Baylor is generating 458.3 total yards per game (26th-ranked). It ranks 33rd in the FBS on the other side of the ball (341.1 total yards surrendered per game). Baylor’s offense has been consistently moving the chains, compiling 37.4 points per contest (19th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 55th by surrendering 24.1 points per game. Baylor ranks 48th in the FBS with 261.0 passing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 78th with 233.0 passing yards ceded per game on defense. Baylor has been keeping opposing offenses in check on run defense, surrendering only 108.1 rushing yards per game (16th-best). Offensively, it ranks 27th in the FBS by piling up 197.3 rushing yards per game. With a 45.1% third-down conversion rate on offense, Baylor ranks 36th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 77th, surrendering a 39.4% third-down rate. Baylor owns a -3 turnover margin this season, which ranks 100th in the FBS.

Texas Tech vs. Baylor Betting Analysis

Texas Tech Betting Insights

Texas Tech has put together a record of 4-3-0 against the spread this season. Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites. Texas Tech games have gone over the total four times this season. The Red Raiders have been listed as the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games. The Red Raiders have played as a moneyline favorite of -121 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Bears Betting Insights

Baylor have registered a 4-3-0 record against the spread this year. Baylor is 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs. This year, Baylor games have hit the over five times. The Bears have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season. This season, the Bears have won two of their three games when they’re the underdog by at least -101 on the moneyline.

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Texas Tech vs. Baylor Against The Spread & Betting Records

Texas Tech

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 61.1 62.5 59.3
Implied Total AVG 36.4 37.8 34.7
ATS Record 4-3-0 3-1-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-2-1 2-1-1 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-0 0-3

Bears

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.4 53.1 51.5
Implied Total AVG 33.0 37.3 27.3
ATS Record 4-3-0 3-1-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-2-0 3-1-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-2 2-1 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Players to Watch

Texas Tech

  • As part of the Red Raiders’ defense, Tyree Wilson has posted 35 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and five sacks in seven games.
  • As part of the Red Raiders’ defense, Krishon Merriweather has collected 1.5 sacks to go with 1.0 TFL and 44 tackles in seven games.
  • The Red Raiders’ defensive unit has been helped by the contributions of Kosi Eldridge, who has played seven games and amassed 29 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks.
  • Dadrion Taylor, as part of the Red Raiders’ defense, has delivered 1.0 TFL, 26 tackles, and one interception in seven games.

Bears

  • Devin Neal has been doing his part on defense, collecting one interception to go with 21 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended for the Bears.
  • Al Walcott has totaled 27 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack in seven games for the Bears.
  • Dillon Doyle has 28 tackles and one interception in seven games.
  • The Bears’ Matt Jones has delivered 19 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in seven games.

Texas Tech vs. Baylor Predictions and Pick

Texas Tech vs. Baylor betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Red Raiders (-1.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (61)

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How to Bet on Texas Tech vs. Baylor

You can bet on Texas Tech vs. Baylor at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas Tech vs. Baylor picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Texas Tech, and we predict that Texas Tech will cover the spread (Texas Tech -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 61 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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