Minnesota vs. Northwestern Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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Big Ten rivals will clash when the Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-3) meet the Northwestern Wildcats (1-8).

Minnesota vs. Northwestern Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 17.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Minnesota as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Minnesota has -1012 odds to pick up the win, while Northwestern is listed at +623 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 41 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Minnesota vs. Northwestern Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BTN
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Huntington Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

Minnesota

Minnesota ranks 57th in total offense this year (407.9 yards per game), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking eighth-best in the FBS with 407.9 yards allowed per game. On the defensive side of the ball, Minnesota has been a top-25 unit, ranking fourth-best by surrendering only 14.2 points per game. The offense ranks 54th (30.6 points per game). On defense, Minnesota has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking fourth-best by giving up only 162.9 passing yards per game. The Golden Gophers rank 106th on offense (195.7 passing yards per game). Minnesota has been finding success on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking 16th-best in rushing offense (212.2 rushing yards per game) and 18th-best in rushing defense (110.7 rushing yards allowed per game). Minnesota has been firing on all cylinders on third down this season, owning the best mark in third-down conversion rate (56.6%) and second-best in third-down defense (25.5% third-down percentage allowed). Minnesota owns the 35th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +4, forcing 14 turnovers (50th in the FBS) while turning it over 10 times (25th in the FBS).

Northwestern

Northwestern ranks 94th with 354.0 total yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 83rd with 392.8 total yards surrendered per game on the defensive side of the ball. Northwestern has not been getting things done offensively, ranking sixth-worst in the FBS with 16.7 points per game. It has been more productive on the other side of the ball, giving up 27.9 points per contest (82nd-ranked). Northwestern ranks 73rd in the FBS with 230.3 passing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 36th with 204.7 passing yards surrendered per game on defense. Northwestern has been struggling to stop the run, ranking 19th-worst with 188.1 rushing yards allowed per game. It has been more effective offensively, generating 123.7 rushing yards per contest (104th-ranked). In terms of third-down efficiency, Northwestern ranks 75th in the FBS (38.8% third-down conversion rate) and 103rd on defense (42.2% third-down rate allowed). With 10 forced turnovers (97th in the FBS) and 19 turnovers committed (118th in the FBS) this season, Northwestern ranks 100th in the FBS with a turnover margin of -9.

Minnesota vs. Northwestern Betting Analysis

Minnesota Betting Insights

Minnesota has covered the spread five times over nine games with a set spread. In games it is played as 17.5-point favorites or more, Minnesota has an ATS record of 3-0. Games involving Minnesota have hit the over four times this season. The Golden Gophers have won 71.4% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (5-2). The Golden Gophers have played as a moneyline favorite of -1012 or shorter in only two games this season, and they won both.

Wildcats Betting Insights

Northwestern has put together a record of 3-5-0 against the spread this year. Northwestern is a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 17.5-point underdogs. This season, three Northwestern games have gone over the point total. The Wildcats have been listed as the underdog four times this season and have failed to win any of those games. The Wildcats have been at least a +623 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.

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Minnesota vs. Northwestern Against The Spread & Betting Records

Minnesota

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.4 50.0 44.3
Implied Total AVG 32.6 38.0 25.8
ATS Record 5-4-0 4-1-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-5-0 2-3-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-2 3-1 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Wildcats

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.4 53.0 46.2
Implied Total AVG 33.5 34.6 31.7
ATS Record 3-5-0 1-4-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-5-0 1-4-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-3 0-3 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-1 0-3

Players to Watch

Minnesota

  • With 1.0 sack to go with 5.0 TFL and 62 tackles in nine games, Mariano Sori-Marin has been a key piece of the Golden Gophers’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Tyler Nubin has suited up for nine games, posting three interceptions to go along with 40 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three passes defended for the Golden Gophers.
  • The Golden Gophers’ defensive unit has been helped by the play of Terell Smith, who has suited up for nine games and registered two interceptions to go along with 29 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
  • The Golden Gophers’ defensive unit has been aided by the contributions of Cody Lindenberg, who has suited up for nine games, delivering 1.0 sack to go with 4.0 TFL and 39 tackles.

Wildcats

  • In nine games for the Wildcats, Bryce Gallagher has recorded 1.5 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL, 81 tackles, and one interception.
  • Xander Mueller has totaled 60 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions in nine games for the Wildcats.
  • Jeremiah Lewis has 1.0 TFL and 48 tackles in nine games.
  • The Wildcats’ Cameron Mitchell has totaled 36 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in nine games.

Minnesota vs. Northwestern Predictions and Pick

Minnesota vs. Northwestern betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Wildcats (+17.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (41)

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How to Bet on Minnesota vs. Northwestern

You can bet on Minnesota vs. Northwestern at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Minnesota vs. Northwestern picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Minnesota, and we expect that Northwestern will cover the spread (Minnesota -17.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 41 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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