Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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The Kentucky Wildcats (6-3) have an SEC matchup with the Vanderbilt Commodores (3-6).

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 17 points, with bookmakers listing Kentucky as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kentucky has -1092 odds to pick up the win, while Vanderbilt is listed at +652 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 46 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Lexington, Kentucky
  • Stadium: Kroger Field

Betting Preview

Kentucky

Kentucky ranks 105th in total offense this season (341.4 yards per game), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 11th-best in the FBS with 341.4 yards allowed per game. Kentucky ranks 96th in points scored this year (23.6 points per game), but has been playing really well on defense, ranking 21st-best in the FBS with 19.6 points allowed per game. On defense, Kentucky has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking 20th-best by surrendering just 181.8 passing yards per game. The Wildcats rank 69th on offense (232.2 passing yards per game). Kentucky ranks 19th-worst in rushing offense (109.2 rushing yards per game), but has played better on defense, ranking 27th with 120.7 rushing yards allowed per contest. On defense, Kentucky has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 13th-best by allowing a 30.3% third-down conversion rate. The team’s offense ranks 72nd (39.0% third-down percentage). Kentucky owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -5, forcing 10 turnovers (97th in the FBS) while turning it over 15 times (90th in the FBS).

Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt’s defense has been bottom-25 in total defense this season, surrendering 472.9 total yards per game, which ranks sixth-worst. On offense, it ranks 96th with 353.6 total yards per contest. Vanderbilt has been sputtering defensively, ranking seventh-worst with 36.8 points surrendered per game. It has been more effective on offense, regstering 26.7 points per contest (81st-ranked). Vanderbilt’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in pass defense this season, allowing 314.0 passing yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 99th with 205.4 passing yards per contest. Vanderbilt is compiling 148.1 rushing yards per game on offense this season (69th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 158.9 rushing yards per contest (84th-ranked) on defense. Vanderbilt has plenty of room to get better on third down, as it ranks 24th-worst in third-down conversion percentage (34.1%) and are 17th-worst in third-down rate allowed (44.4%). At +2, Vanderbilt sports the 50th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 13 forced turnovers (60th in the FBS) and 11 turnovers committed (38th in the FBS).

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Betting Analysis

Kentucky Betting Insights

Kentucky has put together a record of 6-3-0 against the spread this season. Kentucky has 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 17-point favorites. Kentucky games have gone over the total once this season. The Wildcats have been the moneyline favorite four total times this season. They’ve finished 3-1 in those games. The Wildcats have played as a moneyline favorite of -1092 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Commodores Betting Insights

Vanderbilt is 3-6-0 against the spread this year. Vanderbilt has yet to cover the spread (0-3) when playing as at least 17-point underdogs. Games involving Vanderbilt have hit the over on six occasions this year. The Commodores have won one of the six games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Commodores have not won as an underdog of +652 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.

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Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Against The Spread & Betting Records

Kentucky

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.4 50.6 52.5
Implied Total AVG 31.4 33.4 29.0
ATS Record 6-3-0 3-2-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-8-0 1-4-0 0-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 3-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-2 1-0 2-2

Commodores

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.1 56.1 56.0
Implied Total AVG 37.0 35.0 38.6
ATS Record 3-6-0 0-4-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 6-3-0 4-0-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-5 0-3 1-2

Players to Watch

Kentucky

  • J.J. Weaver has helped spur the Wildcats’ defense with 26 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in nine games.
  • DeAndre Square has hit the gridiron for nine games, recording one interception to go along with 42 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended for the Wildcats.
  • The Wildcats’ defensive unit has been helped by the contributions of Jordan Wright, who has suited up for nine games and registered one interception to go along with 22 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended.
  • Carrington Valentine, as part of the Wildcats’ defensive unit, has recorded 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL, 23 tackles, and one interception in nine games.

Commodores

  • On defense, Anfernee Orji has helped keep opposing offenses in check with one interception to go with 55 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in nine games.
  • On defense, Jaylen Mahoney has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 35 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and one sack in nine games.
  • In nine games for the Commodores, De’Rickey Wright has totaled 20 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three interceptions.
  • Kane Patterson has collected 19 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks In nine games for the Commodores.

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Predictions and Pick

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Commodores (+17)

    Pick OU:

    Over (46)

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How to Bet on Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt

You can bet on Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Kentucky, and we predict that Vanderbilt will cover the spread (Kentucky -17). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 46 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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