Missouri vs. Kentucky Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetuCAOxLHkentucky wildcats vs missouri tigers Betsperts Media & Technology

SEC opponents will do battle when the Missouri Tigers (4-4) meet the Kentucky Wildcats (5-3) at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Missouri.

Missouri vs. Kentucky Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing Missouri as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Missouri has -113 odds to pick up the win, while Kentucky is listed at -108 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 40.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Missouri vs. Kentucky Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Columbia, Missouri
  • Stadium: Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview

Missouri

Missouri ranks 87th in total offense this season (364.8 yards per game), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 18th-best in the FBS with 364.8 yards allowed per game. Missouri is totaling 23.9 points per game on offense (97th in the FBS), and ranks 30th on defense with 21.5 points allowed per game. Missouri is totaling 209.5 passing yards per game on offense this season (98th in the FBS), and is giving up 195.0 passing yards per game (29th) on the defensive side of the ball. Missouri is averaging 155.3 rushing yards per game offensively this year (63rd in the FBS), and is surrendering 115.6 rushing yards per game (26th) on the other side of the ball. Defensively, Missouri has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 14th-best by surrendering a 30.4% third-down percentage. The team’s offense ranks 59th (40.5% third-down conversion rate). Missouri owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -2, forcing 13 turnovers (45th in the FBS) while turning it over 15 times (103rd in the FBS).

Kentucky

Kentucky ranks 99th in the FBS with 352.6 total yards per contest, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 19th-best by allowing just 311.3 total yards per game. Kentucky ranks 97th in the FBS with 23.9 points per contest, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 21st-best by allowing just 19.9 points per game. Kentucky has been thriving on pass defense, giving up only 186.6 passing yards per game (20th-best). Offensively, it ranks 68th in the FBS by racking up 240.0 passing yards per game. Kentucky’s running game has been sputtering, ranking 22nd-worst in the FBS with 112.6 rushing yards per game. It has been better on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering 124.6 rushing yards per contest (38th-ranked). Kentucky’s defense has been dominant on third down, surrendering a 32.1% third-down conversion percentage (24th-best). Offensively, it ranks 71st in the FBS with a 39.2% third-down rate. Kentucky has accumulated eight forced turnovers (109th in the FBS) and committed 15 turnovers (103rd in the FBS) this season for a -7 turnover margin that ranks 100th in the FBS.

Missouri vs. Kentucky Betting Analysis

Missouri Betting Insights

Missouri has covered the spread five times in eight games with a set spread. In games it has played as 1-point favorites or more, Missouri has an ATS record of 1-2. Games involving Missouri have hit the over once this season. The Tigers have been listed as the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games. The Tigers have played as a moneyline favorite of -113 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Wildcats Betting Insights

Kentucky has covered the spread five times in eight games with a set total. In games as an underdog by 1 point or more so far this season, the Wildcats have gone 3-1 against the spread. This season, Kentucky games have hit the over just once. The Wildcats have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won twice. The Wildcats have a record of 2-2 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least -108 on the moneyline.

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Missouri vs. Kentucky Against The Spread & Betting Records

Missouri

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.4 55.8 51.1
Implied Total AVG 34.9 40.3 29.5
ATS Record 5-3-0 2-2-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-7-0 1-3-0 0-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 0-1 1-3

Wildcats

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.8 50.6 56.5
Implied Total AVG 33.0 33.4 32.3
ATS Record 5-3-0 3-2-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-7-0 1-4-0 0-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 3-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-0 1-2

Players to Watch

Missouri

  • As part of the Tigers’ defensive unit, Isaiah McGuire has registered 15 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and four sacks in eight games.
  • Ty’Ron Hopper has hit the gridiron for eight games, recording one interception to go along with 10 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended for the Tigers.
  • DJ Coleman has helped lead the Tigers’ defense with 12 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in eight games.
  • Jaylon Carlies has been a significant contributor to the Tigers’ defensive unit in 2022, with two interceptions to go with 16 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended in eight games.

Wildcats

  • In eight games for the Wildcats, DeAndre Square has amassed 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL, 42 tackles, and one interception.
  • On defense, Jordan Wright has helped lead the way with 21 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in eight games.
  • J.J. Weaver has been doing his part on defense, registering 2.0 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and 20 tackles for the Wildcats.
  • With one interception to go with 22 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in eight games, Carrington Valentine has been doing his part on defense for the Wildcats.

Missouri vs. Kentucky Predictions and Pick

Missouri vs. Kentucky betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Tigers (-1)

    Pick OU:

    Over (40.5)

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How to Bet on Missouri vs. Kentucky

You can bet on Missouri vs. Kentucky at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Missouri vs. Kentucky picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Missouri, and we predict that Missouri will cover the spread (Missouri -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 40.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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