Florida vs. Missouri Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetxqCShKIflorida gators vs missouri tigers Betsperts Media & Technology

SEC foes will meet when the Florida Gators (3-2) meet the Missouri Tigers (2-3).

Florida vs. Missouri Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 11 points, with oddsmakers listing Florida as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Florida has -430 odds to pick up the win, while Missouri is listed at +316 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 54 points.

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

Game Info

How to Watch Florida vs. Missouri Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Gainesville, Florida
  • Stadium: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Betting Preview


Despite having a bottom-25 defense that ranks 24th-worst in the FBS (421.4 yards allowed per game), Florida has put up better results offensively, ranking 27th in the FBS offensively putting up 463.8 yards per game. Florida ranks 62nd in scoring offense (32.2 points per game) and 76th in scoring defense (27.0 points allowed per game) this year. Florida is totaling 253.6 passing yards per game offensively this season (57th in the FBS), and is allowing 228.2 passing yards per game (70th) on the other side of the ball. Florida has struggled on defense against the run, ranking 19th-worst in the FBS (193.2 rushing yards allowed per game) this season. However, the team ranks 22nd-best on the other side of the ball, putting up 210.2 rushing yards per game. Despite sporting a bottom-25 defense on third down that ranks fifth-worst in the FBS (50.0% third-down percentage), Florida has put up better results offensively, ranking 54th in the FBS by posting a 42.1% third-down percentage. Florida has forced eight total turnovers (45th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over eight times (77th in the FBS) for an even turnover margin, 100th-ranked in college football.


In terms of total yards, Missouri ranks 90th in the FBS (374.6 total yards per game) and 39th on the other side of the ball (337.2 total yards allowed per contest). From an offensive angle, Missouri is accumulating 26.8 points per game (89th-ranked). It ranks 65th in the FBS defensively (24.8 points given up per game). From an offensive standpoint, Missouri is posting 204.2 passing yards per contest (102nd-ranked). It ranks 57th in the FBS on defense (216.2 passing yards allowed per game). Missouri is generating 170.4 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (55th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 121.0 rushing yards per game (45th-ranked) on defense. Missouri ranks 24th-worst in third-down conversion rate (33.3%), but at least it has been playing well on the other side of the ball, ranking 14th-best in third-down rate allowed (27.8%). After forcing eight turnovers (45th in the FBS) and turning the ball over nine times (99th in the FBS) this season, Missouri has the 100th-ranked turnover margin of -1.

Florida vs. Missouri Betting Analysis

Florida Betting Insights

Florida has registered a 3-2-0 record against the spread this season. In games it has played as 11-point favorites or more, Florida has an ATS record of 1-1. This season, three Florida games have gone over the point total. The Gators have been favored on the moneyline three total times this season. They’ve finished 2-1 in those games. The Gators have played as a moneyline favorite of -430 or shorter in only two games this season, and they won both.

Tigers Betting Insights

Missouri has covered the spread three times over five games with a set total. Missouri has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 11-point underdogs. Games involving Missouri has hit the over once this year. The Tigers have been the underdog in three games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests. The Tigers are 0-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +316 or more on the moneyline.

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

Florida vs. Missouri Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.2 58.5 62.0
Implied Total AVG 37.2 37.3 37.0
ATS Record 3-2-0 2-2-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-2-0 2-2-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-0 0-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.7 57.8 52.5
Implied Total AVG 37.8 43.0 30.0
ATS Record 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-4-0 1-2-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-1 0-2

Players to Watch


  • As part of the Gators’ defense, Amari Burney has totaled 19 tackles, 3.0 TFL, four sacks, and one interception in five games.
  • Rashad Torrence has played five games, posting 35 tackles for the Gators.
  • Ventrell Miller has suited up for five games, collecting 21 tackles and 1.0 TFL for the Gators.
  • With 0.5 sacks to go along with 1.0 TFL and 25 tackles, Trey Dean III has helped lead the Gators’ defense over five games.


  • In five games for the Tigers, Ty’Ron Hopper has compiled 2.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL, seven tackles, and one interception.
  • On defense, Jaylon Carlies has helped lead the charge with 11 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in five games.
  • Ennis Rakestraw Jr. has been wreaking havoc on defense, delivering six tackles and one interception for the Tigers.
  • With five tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in five games, Isaiah McGuire has been wreaking havoc on defense for the Tigers.

Florida vs. Missouri Predictions and Pick

Florida vs. Missouri betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Tigers (+11)

    Pick OU:

    Over (54)

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

How to Bet on Florida vs. Missouri

You can bet on Florida vs. Missouri at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Florida vs. Missouri picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Missouri, and we expect that Missouri will cover the spread (Florida -11). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 54 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

Deals of the Day

See All