Florida vs. LSU Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The Florida Gators (4-2) and LSU Tigers (4-2) will face each other in clash of SEC opponents at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida.

Florida vs. LSU Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with oddsmakers listing Florida as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Florida has -135 odds to pick up the win, while LSU is listed at +110 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 50.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Florida vs. LSU Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Gainesville, Florida
  • Stadium: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Betting Preview


Florida is compiling 436.0 yards per game on offense (48th in the FBS), and rank 99th defensively, yielding 412.8 yards allowed per game. Offensively, Florida ranks 63rd in the FBS with 30.8 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 62nd in points allowed (412.8 points allowed per contest). Florida is compiling 222.3 passing yards per game on offense (91st in the FBS), and ranks 65th on the other side of the ball with 226.8 passing yards allowed per game. Florida sports the 17th-best offense this season in terms of rushing yards (213.7 rushing yards per game), but ranks 22nd-worst on the defensive side of the ball (186.0 rushing yards allowed per game). Florida sports the 64th-ranked third-down offense this year (39.7% third-down conversion rate), but has been worse defensively, ranking seventh-worst with a 50.6% third-down conversion rate allowed. With 10 forced turnovers (36th in the FBS) against 10 turnovers committed (87th in the FBS), Florida’s even turnover margin ranks 100th in college football.


With 428.7 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, LSU ranks 54th in the FBS in 2022. On defense, it ranks 27th, allowing 328.5 total yards per game. From an offensive standpoint, LSU is putting up 31.8 points per game (53rd-ranked). It ranks 28th in the FBS on defense (19.0 points surrendered per game). With 256.3 passing yards per game on offense, LSU ranks 54th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 28th, surrendering 193.0 passing yards per contest. With 172.3 rushing yards per game on offense, LSU ranks 53rd in the FBS. Defensively it ranks 57th, giving up 135.5 rushing yards per contest. With a 45.7% third-down conversion percentage on offense, LSU ranks 36th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 57th, allowing a 36.6% third-down rate. After forcing 12 turnovers (13th in the FBS) and turning the ball over nine times (74th in the FBS) this season, LSU owns the 37th-ranked turnover margin of +3.

Florida vs. LSU Betting Analysis

Florida Betting Insights

Florida has registered a 3-3-0 record against the spread this season. Florida has 1-3 ATS when playing as at least 2-point favorites. This season, three Florida games have gone over the point total. The Gators have been the moneyline favorite four total times this season. They’ve gone 3-1 in those games. The Gators are 1-1 (winning 75% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter.

Tigers Betting Insights

LSU has gone 2-2-0 against the spread this season. LSU is 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 2-point underdogs. Games involving LSU have yet to hit the over once this season. The Tigers have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Tigers are 1-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +110 or more on the moneyline.

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Florida vs. LSU Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.3 57.6 62.0
Implied Total AVG 36.5 36.4 37.0
ATS Record 3-3-0 2-3-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-3-0 2-3-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 3-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-0 0-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.6 53.8 45.0
Implied Total AVG 31.5 33.0 27.0
ATS Record 2-2-0 2-1-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 0-4-0 0-3-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-1 0-0

Players to Watch


  • As part of the Gators’ defensive unit, Amari Burney has registered 19 tackles, 3.0 TFL, four sacks, and one interception in six games.
  • Rashad Torrence has helped spur the Gators’ defense with 35 tackles in six games.
  • The Gators’ defense has been helped by Ventrell Miller, who has suited up for six games and recorded 21 tackles and 1.0 TFL.
  • With 0.5 sacks to go along with 1.0 TFL and 25 tackles, Trey Dean III has helped spur the Gators’ defense over six games.


  • BJ Ojulari has been wreaking havoc on defense, posting 18 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks for the Tigers.
  • The Tigers’ Jay Ward has recorded 1.0 TFL, 26 tackles, and one interception in six games.
  • The Tigers’ Greg Brooks Jr. has collected one interception to go with 21 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in six games.
  • Micah Baskerville has totaled one interception to go with 26 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one pass defended In six games for the Tigers.

Florida vs. LSU Predictions and Pick

Florida vs. LSU betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Tigers (+2)

    Pick OU:

    Under (50.5)

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How to Bet on Florida vs. LSU

You can bet on Florida vs. LSU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Florida vs. LSU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Florida, and we expect that LSU will cover the spread (Florida -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 50.5 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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