Arkansas vs. Liberty Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetcQbi8WYarkansas razorbacks vs liberty flames Betsperts Media & Technology

The Arkansas Razorbacks (5-3) take the field against the No. 23 Liberty Flames (7-1) in college football action at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas.

Arkansas vs. Liberty Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 14.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Arkansas as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Arkansas has -659 odds to pick up the win, while Liberty is listed at +439 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 61.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Arkansas vs. Liberty Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Fayetteville, Arkansas
  • Stadium: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium

Betting Preview

Arkansas

Arkansas has struggled on defense, ranking 12th-worst in the FBS (458.3 yards allowed per game) this season. However, the defense ranks 13th-best, yielding an average of 492.5 yards per game. With 31.9 points allowed per game on defense, which ranks 19th-worst in the FBS, Arkansas has been forced to lean on their 36th-ranked offense (33.8 points per contest) to keep them competitive. With 310.4 passing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks third-worst in the FBS, Arkansas has been forced to lean on their 60th-ranked passing offense (246.8 passing yards per contest) to keep them competitive. Arkansas owns the 73rd-ranked defense this year in terms of rushing yards (147.9 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on offense, ranking sixth-best with 245.8 rushing yards per game. Arkansas has struggled on defense in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking ninth-worst in the FBS (47.0% third-down conversion rate) this season. With the ball, however, the Razorbacks ranks 14th-best, averaging a 50.0% third-down percentage. Arkansas has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -1, forcing nine turnovers (96th in the FBS) while turning it over 10 times (39th in the FBS).

Liberty

In terms of total offense, Liberty ranks 47th in the FBS (421.5 total yards per game) and 26th on defense (331.0 total yards allowed per contest). In terms of points scored Liberty ranks 56th in the FBS (31.1 points per game), and it is 30th on the other side of the ball (21.5 points allowed per game). With 226.1 passing yards per game on offense, Liberty ranks 81st in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 40th, giving up 207.3 passing yards per game. Liberty is putting up 195.4 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (28th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 123.8 rushing yards per contest (34th-ranked) on defense. Liberty’s third-down defense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 13th-best in the FBS with a 30.2% third-down conversion percentage allowed. In terms of offense, it is posting a 35.1% third-down rate, which ranks 101st. With 18 forced turnovers (eighth in the FBS) and 18 turnovers committed (121st in the FBS) this season, Liberty ranks 100th in the FBS with a turnover margin of 0.

Arkansas vs. Liberty Betting Analysis

Arkansas Betting Insights

Arkansas has covered the spread in a game four times this season (4-4-0). Arkansas has yet to cover a spread (0-1) when playing as at least 14.5-point favorites. Games involving Arkansas have hit the over seven times this season. The Razorbacks have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of four times this season, and they’ve won each of those games. The Razorbacks have played as a moneyline favorite of -659 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Flames Betting Insights

Liberty have compiled a 4-4-0 record against the spread this season. Liberty has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 14.5-point underdogs. This season, four Liberty games have gone over the point total. The Flames have won two of the three games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Flames have played as an underdog of +439 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Arkansas vs. Liberty Against The Spread & Betting Records

Arkansas

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.0 57.8 58.3
Implied Total AVG 33.5 36.5 30.5
ATS Record 4-4-0 2-2-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-1-0 4-0-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-0 3-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-1 1-2

Flames

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.1 54.3 52.0
Implied Total AVG 33.6 35.3 32.0
ATS Record 4-4-0 2-2-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-4-0 0-4-0 4-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-0 2-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 2-0 0-1

Players to Watch

Arkansas

  • The Razorbacks’ defense has been aided by the play of Drew Sanders, who has suited up for eight games and posted 46 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and seven sacks.
  • Bumper Pool has suited up for eight games, totaling 51 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack for the Razorbacks.
  • The Razorbacks’ defensive unit has been helped by Jordan Domineck, who has suited up for eight games and posted 18 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and five sacks.
  • Dwight McGlothern has been an important contributor to the Razorbacks’ defensive unit in 2022, with three interceptions to go with 16 tackles and four passes defended in eight games.

Flames

  • In eight games for the Flames, Durrell Johnson has compiled 5.0 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL, 18 tackles, and one interception.
  • Ahmad Walker has been causing chaos on defense, delivering 29 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and two sacks for the Flames.
  • The Flames’ Dennis Osagiede has posted 13 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and six sacks in eight games.
  • Tyren Dupree has recorded 3.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 24 tackles in eight games for the Flames.

Arkansas vs. Liberty Predictions and Pick

Arkansas vs. Liberty betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Flames (+14.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (61.5)

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How to Bet on Arkansas vs. Liberty

You can bet on Arkansas vs. Liberty at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Arkansas vs. Liberty picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Arkansas, and we project that Liberty will cover the spread (Arkansas -14.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 61.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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