Alabama vs. Ole Miss Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetpJZie7yalabama crimson tide vs ole miss rebels Betsperts Media & Technology

SEC opponents will battle when the No. 10 Alabama Crimson Tide (7-2) meet the No. 11 Ole Miss Rebels (8-1).

Alabama vs. Ole Miss Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 11 points, with sportsbooks listing Alabama as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Alabama has -468 odds to pick up the win, while Ole Miss is listed at +332 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 64.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Alabama vs. Ole Miss Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Oxford, Mississippi
  • Stadium: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Betting Preview

Alabama

Alabama has been clicking on all fronts this year, ranking 17th-best in total offense (483.1 yards per game) and 13th-best in total defense (303.6 yards allowed per game). Alabama has been finding success on both sides of the ball, ranking seventh-best in scoring offense (41.8 points per game) and 14th-best in scoring defense (18.3 points allowed per game). Offensively, Alabama ranks 27th in the FBS with 280.3 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 31st in passing yards allowed per contest (199.6). Alabama has been shining on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking 23rd-best in rushing offense (202.8 rushing yards per game) and 11th-best in rushing defense (104.0 rushing yards allowed per game). Alabama ranks 31st in third-down percentage this season (45.7%), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking sixth-best in the FBS with a 27.9% third-down conversion rate allowed. With six forced turnovers (127th in the FBS) against 11 turnovers committed (37th in the FBS), Alabama’s -5-5 turnover margin ranks 100th in college football.

Ole Miss

Ole Miss’ offense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 11th-best in the FBS with 494.9 total yards per game. In terms of defense, it is ceding 378.0 total yards per game, which ranks 69th. Ole Miss’ defense ranks 34th in the FBS with 21.6 points given up per contest, but it has been lifted up by its offense, which ranks 16th-best by putting up 37.4 points per contest. Ole Miss ranks 78th in the FBS with 227.6 passing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 61st with 222.2 passing yards given up per game on the defensive side of the ball. Ole Miss’ run offense has been thriving, racking up 267.3 rushing yards per contest (third-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 80th by giving up 155.8 rushing yards per game. Ole Miss’ third-down defense ranks 44th in the FBS with a 36.3% third-down conversion percentage given up, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks eighth-best by compiling a 51.2% third-down rate. After forcing 13 turnovers (61st in the FBS) and turning the ball over 11 times (37th in the FBS) this season, Ole Miss sports the 50th-ranked turnover margin of +2.

Alabama vs. Ole Miss Betting Analysis

Alabama Betting Insights

Alabama has covered the spread five times in nine games with a set spread. Alabama is 5-3 ATS when playing as at least 11-point favorites. Alabama games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season. The Crimson Tide have gone 4-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games). The Crimson Tide have gone 3-1 when they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -468 or shorter (80%).

Rebels Betting Insights

Ole Miss has put together a record of 3-5-1 against the spread this year. Ole Miss games have gone over the total five times this year. The Rebels lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Rebels have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +332 moneyline set for this game.

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Alabama vs. Ole Miss Against The Spread & Betting Records

Alabama

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.5 59.0 62.4
Implied Total AVG 43.6 47.4 38.8
ATS Record 5-4-0 4-1-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-5-0 1-4-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 2-0 2-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Rebels

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.4 58.6 60.4
Implied Total AVG 37.2 39.4 34.5
ATS Record 3-5-1 1-4-0 2-1-1
Over/Under Record 5-4-0 2-3-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-0 5-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Players to Watch

Alabama

  • As part of the Crimson Tide’s defensive unit, DeMarcco Hellams has recorded 56 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in nine games.
  • As part of the Crimson Tide’s defense, Will Anderson Jr. has compiled 7.0 sacks to go with 10.0 TFL, 34 tackles, and one interception in nine games.
  • With 51 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and two sacks in nine games, Henry To’o To’o has been an important contributor to the Crimson Tide’s defensive unit in 2022.
  • A big contributor to the Crimson Tide’s defense, Dallas Turner has 30 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four sacks in nine games.

Rebels

  • In nine games for the Rebels, A.J. Finley has posted 1.0 TFL, 55 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • In nine games for the Rebels, Troy Brown has delivered 61 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks.
  • The Rebels’ Otis Reese has registered 49 tackles, 4.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended in nine games.
  • On defense, Jared Ivey has chipped in with 21 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in nine games.

Alabama vs. Ole Miss Predictions and Pick

Alabama vs. Ole Miss betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Rebels (+11)

    Pick OU:

    Under (64.5)

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How to Bet on Alabama vs. Ole Miss

You can bet on Alabama vs. Ole Miss at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Alabama vs. Ole Miss picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Alabama, and we project that Ole Miss will cover the spread (Alabama -11). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 64.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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