Air Force vs. Utah State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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MWC rivals will do battle when the Air Force Falcons (4-1) meet the Utah State Aggies (1-4) at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium in Logan, Utah.

Air Force vs. Utah State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Air Force as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Air Force has -415 odds to pick up the win, while Utah State is listed at +305 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 53.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Air Force vs. Utah State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Logan, Utah
  • Stadium: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium

Betting Preview

Air Force

Air Force ranks 30th in total offense this year (460.6 yards per game), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking 14th-best in the FBS with 460.6 yards allowed per game. Air Force owns the 55th-ranked offense this year (32.8 points per game), and has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 15th-best with just 14.8 points allowed per game. While Air Force ranks third-worst in the FBS in passing offense with 90.8 passing yards per game, it’s been a different situation with the defense, which ranks sixth-best (151.6 passing yards per game allowed). Air Force owns the 52nd-ranked defense this year in terms of rushing yards (127.2 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking best with 369.8 rushing yards per game. Air Force ranks 39th in third-down defense this season (32.7% third-down percentage allowed), but has been thriving on offense, ranking 20th-best in the FBS with a 48.4% third-down conversion rate. Air Force has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -1, forcing six turnovers (85th in the FBS) while turning it over seven times (61st in the FBS).

Utah State

With 354.8 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, Utah State ranks 100th in the FBS in 2022. On defense, it ranks 96th, surrendering 408.2 total yards per contest. Utah State has been outplayed on both sides of the ball this season, ranking 12th-worst in points (17.6 per game) and 11th-worst in points surrendered (36.4 per game). With 201.6 passing yards per game on offense, Utah State ranks 104th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 61st, surrendering 219.8 passing yards per game. Utah State’s defense has been bottom-25 in run defense this season, ceding 188.4 rushing yards per game, which ranks 23rd-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 71st with 153.2 rushing yards per contest. Utah State ranks eighth-worst in third-down conversion rate (27.3%), but it has been more effective defensively, ranking 102nd in the FBS with a 43.1% third-down rate allowed. At -8, Utah State sports the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with seven forced turnovers (62nd in the FBS) and 15 turnovers committed (131st in the FBS).

Air Force vs. Utah State Betting Analysis

Air Force Betting Insights

Air Force is 3-2-0 against the spread this season. In games they were favored in by 10.5 points or more so far this season, the Air Force has gone 3-2 against the spread. This season, three Air Force games have gone over the point total. The Falcons have gone 4-1 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 80% of those games). The Falcons have a 1-1 record (winning 80% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -415 or shorter.

Aggies Betting Insights

Utah State has covered the spread one time over five games with a set spread. In games they have played as 10.5-point underdogs or more, the Aggies have an ATS record of 1-1. This season, Utah State games have hit the over just once. The Aggies have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. This season, the Aggies have been at least a +305 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.

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Air Force vs. Utah State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Air Force

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.7 45.4 47.0
Implied Total AVG 31.4 31.3 32.0
ATS Record 3-2-0 3-1-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-2-0 3-1-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 4-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.4 59.7 61.5
Implied Total AVG 40.6 35.7 48.0
ATS Record 1-4-0 0-3-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-4-0 0-3-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Players to Watch

Air Force

  • Camby Goff has helped lead the Falcons’ defense with 14 tackles and two interceptions in five games.
  • As part of the Falcons’ defense, TD Blackmon has posted 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL and 13 tackles in five games.
  • With 19 tackles and 1.0 TFL in five games, Alec Mock has been a key piece of the Falcons’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Michael Mack II has been a significant contributor to the Falcons’ defense in 2022, with 16 tackles in five games.


  • On defense, Hunter Reynolds has helped keep opposing offenses in check with two interceptions to go with 26 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended in five games.
  • On defense, AJ Vongphachanh has helped lead the way with 29 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack in five games.
  • The Aggies’ MJ Tafisi has compiled 28 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one sack in five games.
  • The Aggies’ Ike Larsen has totaled 12 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in five games.

Air Force vs. Utah State Predictions and Pick

Air Force vs. Utah State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Aggies (+10.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (53.5)

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How to Bet on Air Force vs. Utah State

You can bet on Air Force vs. Utah State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Air Force vs. Utah State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Air Force, and we project that Utah State will cover the spread (Air Force -10.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 53.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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