Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Tuesday, January 17, 2023

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The Tennessee Volunteers (14-3, 4-1 SEC) square off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-5, 1-4 SEC) on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET in SEC action.

Tuesday’s matchup between the Volunteers and the Bulldogs sees the Volunteers as 5.5-point favorites. The matchup has a point total of 123.5.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Odds

Point Spread for Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Tennessee as the favorite.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -249 odds to pick up the win, while Mississippi State is listed at +202 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 123.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, January 17, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Starkville, Mississippi
  • Arena: Humphrey Coliseum

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Betting Trends

In the Tennessee’s 17 games this season, it has nine wins against the spread. The Volunteers have come away with 10 wins in the 12 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Tennessee’s games this year have hit the over six times in 17 opportunities (35.3%).

Against the spread, Mississippi State is 7-10-0 this season. The Bulldogs have lost all three of the games they have been listed as the moneyline underdog this season. Mississippi State’s games this season have gone over the total in four of 17 opportunities (23.5%).

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Key Players to Watch


Santiago Vescovi paces the Volunteers at 12.9 points per game, while also putting up 3.2 assists and 4.1 rebounds. Zakai Zeigler puts up a team-best 4.5 assists per contest. He is also posting 9.8 points and 3.0 rebounds, shooting 36.1% from the field and 32.0% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made 3-pointers per game. Olivier Nkamhoua is averaging 11.1 points, 2.4 assists and 4.8 rebounds per game.
Julian Phillips is tops on the Volunteers at 5.3 rebounds per contest, while also putting up 1.5 assists and 9.8 points.

Mississippi State

Tolu Smith is the Bulldogs’ top scorer (14.0 points per game) and rebounder (7.8), and puts up 1.6 assists. D.J. Jeffries gives the Bulldogs 9.4 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. He also posts 1.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Cameron Matthews gives the Bulldogs 6.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. The Bulldogs get 7.2 points, 2.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game from Shakeel Moore.

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What you need to know about the Tennessee Volunteers

The Volunteers have been lifted by their defense, as they rank second-best in the country by surrendering only 54.0 points per game. They rank 134th in college basketball in points scored (74.4 per contest). Tennessee is allowing 28.2 rebounds per game this year (40th-ranked in college basketball), but it has thrived by pulling down 37.1 rebounds per game (11th-best).

Tennessee is making 7.9 treys per game (133rd-ranked in college basketball) this season, while sporting a 33.4% three-point percentage (215th-ranked). The Volunteers are thriving when it comes to defending against three-pointers, as they rank fourth-best in college basketball in threes allowed (4.8 per game) and best in three-point percentage allowed (21.3%).

The Volunteers have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over their past 10 contests. Four of Tennessee’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. In its last 10 games, Tennessee has been putting up 75.8 points per game, an average that’s a little higher than the 74.4 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Tennessee’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has given up 54.6 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 54.0 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the Mississippi State Bulldogs

Offensively, the Bulldogs are the 322nd-ranked team in the nation (65.6 points per game). On defense, they are fifth-best (57.5 points allowed per game). On the glass, Mississippi State is 24th-best in the nation in rebounds (36.4 per game). It is 134th in rebounds allowed (30.3 per game).

In 2022-23 the Bulldogs are averaging 13.3 more points per game at home (72.1) than on the road (58.8). Mississippi State is 304th in the country in 3-pointers made (6.1 per game) and 13th-worst in 3-point percentage (28.8%). The Bulldogs are 180th in the country in 3-pointers conceded (7.2 per game) and 83rd in 3-point percentage defensively (31.1%).

The Bulldogs are 3-7 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 contests. Mississippi State has gone over the total in four of its past 10 contests. Mississippi State is posting 63.7 points per game over its last 10 games, which is 1.9 fewer points than its average for the season (65.6). The Bulldogs are allowing 63.2 points per contest over their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 57.5 points allowed.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Tennessee, and we predict that Tennessee will cover the spread (Tennessee -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 123.5 points.

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How to bet Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Mississippi State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Mississippi State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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