Tarleton State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Monday, March 25, 2024

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The Tarleton State Texans (25-9) go up against the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (22-12) at 7:00 PM ET on Monday, March 25, 2024. The matchup airs on ESPN+.

Tarleton State is a 6-point favorite against Purdue Fort Wayne when the Texans face off against the Mastodons on Monday. The matchup has an over/under of 150.5.

Tarleton State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Odds

Point Spread for Tarleton State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with sportsbooks listing Tarleton State as the favorite.

Tarleton State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tarleton State has -245 odds to pick up the win, while Purdue Fort Wayne is listed at +200 to claim victory.

Tarleton State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 150.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, March 25, 2024
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Stephenville, Texas
  • Arena: Wisdom Gym

Tarleton State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Betting Trends

Tarleton State has 20 wins against the spread in 31 games this year. The Texans have been victorious in 14, or 82.4%, of the 17 contests they have been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season. Tarleton State’s games this year have hit the over on 19 of 32 set point totals.

Purdue Fort Wayne has played 32 games, with 18 wins against the spread. The Mastodons have been the moneyline underdog 13 total times this season. They’ve gone 6-7 in those games. Purdue Fort Wayne’s games this year have gone over the total in 18 of 32 opportunities (56.2%).

Tarleton State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Key Players to Watch

Tarleton State

Jakorie Smith is tops on his squad in points per contest (15.8), and also posts 4.5 rebounds and 2.0 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.6 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Kiandre Gaddy paces his team in rebounds per game (6.8), and also averages 12.1 points and 1.1 assists. Defensively, he delivers 0.9 steals and 1.5 blocked shots. Lue Williams posts 13.0 points, 4.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 45.3% from the floor and 31.3% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Emmanuel Innocenti paces the Texans at 3.0 assists per game, while also putting up 6.5 rebounds and 6.8 points.

Purdue Fort Wayne

Jalen Jackson is averaging a team-leading 16.2 points per contest. And he is delivering 4.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists, making 51.3% of his shots from the floor and 42.1% from 3-point range, with 1.2 triples per game. Rasheed Bello is No. 1 on the Mastodons in assists (4.2 per game), and averages 14.8 points and 2.9 rebounds. He also averages 1.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Anthony Roberts gives the Mastodons 13.3 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He also delivers 1.8 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Quinton Morton-Robertson gives the Mastodons 13.1 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. He also puts up 1.4 steals and 0.0 blocked shots.

What you need to know about the Tarleton State Texans

The Texans are scoring 74.1 points per game (156th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 68.5 points per contest (74th-ranked). Tarleton State is playing well in terms of rebounding, as it ranks best in college basketball in rebounds ( per game) and best in boards allowed ( per contest).

When playing at home, the Texans are posting 7.7 more points per game (78.3) than they are on the road (70.6). This season, Tarleton State is making 5.8 threes per game (320th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 32.7% (254th-ranked) from beyond the arc. With 6.2 three-pointers conceded per game, the Texans are 67th in college basketball. They are allowing a 33.5% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 152nd in college basketball.

The Texans have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Tarleton State has gone over the total seven times. On offense, Tarleton State has increased its output slightly over its last 10 games, scoring 79.3 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 74.1 it has put up over the course of this season. Tarleton State’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 72.0 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 68.5 points per game its opponents average this season.

What you need to know about the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

With 80.8 points scored per game and 71.5 points conceded, the Mastodons are 28th in the country offensively and 161st on defense. Purdue Fort Wayne is the best squad in the country in rebounds per game () and best in rebounds allowed ().

In 2023-24 the Mastodons are scoring 7.2 more points per game at home (84.1) than away (76.9). In 2023-24 Purdue Fort Wayne is 24th-best in college basketball in 3-point makes (9.4 per game), and it ranks No. 53 in 3-point percentage (36.2%). The Mastodons give up 6.4 3-pointers per game and concede 32.6% from beyond the arc, ranking 97th and 98th, respectively, in the country.

The Mastodons have gone 7-3 over their past 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Purdue Fort Wayne has gone over the total six times. In its past 10 games, Purdue Fort Wayne is putting up 79.3 points per contest, 1.5 fewer points than its season average (80.8). In their past 10 games, the Mastodons are giving up 71.5 points per game, the same number of points they are allowing per game this season.

Tarleton State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Tarleton State, and we project that Purdue Fort Wayne will cover the spread (Tarleton State -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 150.5 points.

How to bet Tarleton State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne

You can bet on Tarleton State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tarleton State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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