Dallas vs. Los Angeles Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, May 3, 2024

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The Dallas Mavericks will play the Los Angeles Clippers in a decisive Game 6 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs.

The Mavericks are an 8-point favorite against the Clippers when the Mavericks and the Clippers square off. The matchup’s point total is set at 208.

Mavericks vs. Clippers Odds

Point Spread for Mavericks vs. Clippers

The spread for this matchup is set at 8 points, with sportsbooks listing the Mavericks as the favorite.

Dallas vs. Los Angeles Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Dallas has -325 odds to win the game, while Los Angeles is listed at +260 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 208 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Friday, May 3, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: ESPN

Mavericks vs. Clippers Betting Trends

The Mavericks are 48-34-0 against the spread this season. This season, Dallas has been favored 49 times and won 37, or 75.5%, of those games. Games involving the Mavericks have hit the over 36 times this season.

The Clippers have covered the spread 38 times in 82 games with a set spread. Los Angeles has won in five, or 27.8%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. Clippers games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 36 times this year.

Mavericks vs. Clippers Key Players to Watch

Mavericks

Luka Doncic’s numbers for the season are 33.9 points, 9.8 assists and 9.2 boards per game. Kyrie Irving is posting 25.6 points, 5.2 assists and 5.0 boards per contest. Daniel Gafford posts 11.0 points, 7.6 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 72.5% from the floor (first in league). P.J. Washington is posting 12.9 points, 1.9 assists and 5.6 boards per game.

Clippers

Paul George’s averages for the season are 22.6 points, 5.2 rebounds and 3.5 assists, making 47.1% of his shots from the field and 41.3% from beyond the arc, with 3.3 triples per contest (sixth in NBA). James Harden’s averages on the season are 16.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 8.5 assists per game, making 42.8% of his shots from the field and 38.1% from beyond the arc, with 2.6 triples per contest. Ivica Zubac’s numbers for the season are 11.7 points, 9.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, making 64.9% of his shots from the field (third in league). Russell Westbrook averages 11.1 points, 5.0 boards and 4.5 assists, making 45.4% of his shots from the floor.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

On offense, the Mavericks are posting 117.9 points per game (seventh-ranked in league). They are giving up 115.6 points per contest on defense (20th-ranked). The Mavericks are averaging 42.9 rebounds per game (21st-ranked in league). They are ceding 45.1 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked). The Mavericks rank 19th in the NBA with 25.7 assists per game.

Dallas puts up 118.7 points per game when playing at home, compared to 117.0 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of 1.7 points per contest. Dallas owns a 36.9% three-point percentage this season (13th-ranked in NBA), but it has really shined by sinking 14.6 treys per contest (third-best). With 13.1 three-pointers conceded per game, Dallas is 18th in the NBA. It is allowing a 36.8% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 18th in the league.

The Mavericks have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. Four of Dallas’ last 10 contests have hit the over. In their last 10 games, the Mavericks have been putting up 109.1 points per game, an average that’s much lower than the 117.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Dallas has been much improved on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 107.5 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 115.6 it has surrendered per game this year.

What you need to know about the Clippers

The Clippers are 12th in the NBA in points scored (115.6 per game) and 10th in points allowed (112.3). Los Angeles is 19th in the NBA in rebounds per game (43.0) and fifth-best in rebounds allowed (42.2). At 25.6 assists per game, the Clippers are 20th in the league.

At home, the Clippers average 115.3 points per game. Away, they score 115.9. The Clippers make 12.6 3-pointers per game and shoot 38.1% from beyond the arc, ranking 15th and sixth, respectively, in the league. In 2023-24, Los Angeles is 14th in the league in 3-pointers allowed (12.9 per game) and 14th in defensive 3-point percentage (36.3%).

The Clippers have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Los Angeles has gone over the total four times. Over its previous 10 games, Los Angeles is posting 104.8 points per contest, 10.8 fewer points than its season average (115.6). The Clippers have fared better defensively in their past 10 games, surrendering 108.8 points per contest, 3.5 fewer points than their season average of 112.3 allowed.

Mavericks vs. Clippers Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Mavericks, and we predict that Clippers will cover the spread (Mavericks -8). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 208 points.

How to bet Mavericks vs. Clippers

You can bet on Dallas vs. Los Angeles at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Dallas vs. Los Angeles picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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