Purdue vs. Utah State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, March 24, 2024

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The No. 1 seed Purdue Boilermakers (30-4) and the No. 8 seed Utah State Aggies (28-6) play in the NCAA Tournament with a trip to the Sweet 16 of the Midwest Region bracket up for grabs on Sunday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, beginning at 2:40 PM ET.

Purdue is a substantial 11.5-point favorite against Utah State when the Boilermakers play the Aggies on Sunday. The game’s point total is 149.5.

Purdue vs. Utah State Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. Utah State

The spread for this matchup is set at 11.5 points, with bookmakers listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. Utah State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -625 odds to pick up the win, while Utah State is listed at +455 to claim victory.

Purdue vs. Utah State Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 149.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 24, 2024
  • Game Time: 2:40 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Purdue vs. Utah State Betting Trends

Purdue has 16 wins against the spread in 34 games this year. The Boilermakers have come away with 24 wins in the 28 contests they have been listed as the moneyline favorites in this season. Purdue has eclipsed the over/under in 65.6% of its opportunities this year (21 times over 32 games with a set point total).

Utah State is 15-15-2 against the spread this season. The Aggies have won 28.6% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (2-5). Utah State’s games this year have hit the over on 20 of 32 set point totals (62.5%).

Purdue vs. Utah State Key Players to Watch

Purdue

Zach Edey is tops on the Boilermakers with 24.6 points per contest (first in the country) and 12.0 rebounds (second in the country), while also averaging 2.1 assists. Braden Smith leads the Boilermakers at 7.4 assists per game, while also posting 5.7 rebounds and 12.5 points. He is third in the nation in assists. Lance Jones posts 12.1 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per contest, shooting 41.1% from the field and 35.7% from downtown with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game. Fletcher Loyer is posting 10.4 points, 1.8 assists and 2.1 rebounds per game.

Utah State

Great Osobor is the Aggies’ top scorer (17.8 points per game) and rebounder (9.1), and posts 2.9 assists. Darius Brown II paces the Aggies in assists (6.6 per game), and posts 12.4 points and 4.4 rebounds. He also delivers 1.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Ian Martinez is posting 13.4 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, making 47.6% of his shots from the floor and 38.1% from 3-point range, with 1.5 treys per game. Mason Falslev gives the Aggies 11.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest. He also puts up 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

The Boilermakers are ceding 69.6 points per game this season (101st-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really thrived on offense, averaging 83.2 points per game (12th-best). Purdue has been shining in terms of rebounding this year, ranking best in the country in boards per game () and best in rebounds allowed per contest ().

With a 40.9% three-point percentage this season, Purdue is second-best in the country. It ranks 80th in college basketball by sinking 8.4 threes per contest. So far this season, the Boilermakers are allowing 7.2 threes per game (196th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 31.3% (39th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Boilermakers are 3-7 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their past 10 games. Six of Purdue’s last 10 contests have gone over the total. In its last 10 games, Purdue has been putting up 78.8 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 83.2 it has scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Purdue’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (69.6) shows no change from its season-long per-game points allowed average during the 2023-24 campaign.

What you need to know about the Utah State Aggies

The Aggies are 39th in the country in points scored (80.0 per game) and 122nd in points conceded (70.3). In 2023-24, Utah State is best in the nation in rebounds ( per game) and best in rebounds conceded ().

Utah State is 277th in the nation in 3-pointers made (6.4 per game) and 220th in 3-point percentage (33.4%). The Aggies are 46th in the country in 3-pointers conceded (5.9 per game) and fourth-best in 3-point percentage defensively (29.1%).

The Aggies have a 3-6-1 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Utah State has hit the over seven times. In its previous 10 games, Utah State is putting up 77.8 points per game, 2.2 fewer points than its season average (80.0). While the Aggies are allowing 70.3 points per game in 2023-24, they have been worse over their previous 10 games, allowing 73.5 points per contest.

Purdue vs. Utah State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Purdue, and we expect that Utah State will cover the spread (Purdue -11.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 149.5 points.

How to bet Purdue vs. Utah State

You can bet on Purdue vs. Utah State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. Utah State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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