Duke vs. NC State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, March 31, 2024

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The No. 4 seed Duke Blue Devils (27-8, 15-5 ACC) play the No. 11 seed NC State Wolfpack (25-14, 9-11 ACC) in the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight on Sunday at American Airlines Center, airing on CBS starting at 5:05 PM ET.

The Blue Devils are currently healthy 7-point favorites against the Wolfpack. The game has a point total of 143.

Duke vs. NC State Odds

Point Spread for Duke vs. NC State

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with bookmakers listing Duke as the favorite.

Duke vs. NC State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Duke has -305 odds to pick up the win, while NC State is listed at +245 to claim victory.

Duke vs. NC State Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 143 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 31, 2024
  • Game Time: 5:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Lake Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center

Duke vs. NC State Betting Trends

Duke is 21-13-1 against the spread this season. The Blue Devils have won in 21, or 77.8%, of the 27 contests they have been named as moneyline favorites in this year. Duke’s games this year have gone over the point total 13 times in 39 opportunities (33.3%).

NC State has 19 wins against the spread in 39 games this year. The Wolfpack have won 44.4% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (8-10). NC State has eclipsed the over/under 56.4% of the time this season (22 of 39 games with a set point total).

Duke vs. NC State Key Players to Watch

Duke

Kyle Filipowski paces his team in both points (16.6) and rebounds (8.2) per game, and also posts 2.8 assists. Defensively, he puts up 1.2 steals and 1.5 blocked shots. Jared McCain is posting 13.8 points, 1.9 assists and 5.0 rebounds per contest. Jeremy Roach is putting up 14.0 points, 3.1 assists and 2.5 rebounds per game. Mark Mitchell is posting 11.8 points, 1.1 assists and 6.0 rebounds per game.

NC State

DJ Horne is averaging a team-best 16.8 points per contest. And he is contributing 3.4 rebounds and 2.1 assists, making 43.9% of his shots from the field and 41.2% from 3-point range, with 2.7 triples per contest. The Wolfpack receive 12.6 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from D.J. Burns. Jayden Taylor is posting 11.4 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, making 40.9% of his shots from the field and 36.0% from 3-point range, with 1.6 treys per contest. Casey Morsell gets the Wolfpack 11.5 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. He also posts 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

What you need to know about the Duke Blue Devils

In Duke’s 21 ACC games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total seven times. This year, the Blue Devils are averaging 79.0 points per game (51st-ranked in college basketball) and surrendering 66.0 points per contest (26th-ranked). Duke has been shining in terms of rebounding this season, ranking best in college basketball in rebounds per game () and best in boards allowed per contest ().

Duke is sinking 8.4 treys per game this season (80th-ranked in college basketball), and it sports a 38.0% three-point percentage (12th-best). The Blue Devils rank 97th in college basketball with 6.4 threes allowed per game so far this year. Meanwhile, they rank 64th with a 32.0% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Blue Devils have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Duke has hit the over twice. Duke has seen a decrease in scoring lately, putting up 75.8 points per game in its last 10 contests, 3.2 points fewer than the 79.0 it has scored this year. Duke has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 62.0 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 66.0 it has surrendered per game this year.

What you need to know about the NC State Wolfpack

NC State and its opponents have combined to hit the over 15 out of 25 times this season in ACC action. In 2023-24, the Wolfpack are 98th in the country on offense (76.3 points scored per game) and 190th defensively (72.2 points allowed). In 2023-24, NC State is best in the country in rebounds ( per game) and best in rebounds allowed ().

In 2023-24, NC State is 218th in college basketball in 3-point makes (7.1 per game) and 133rd in 3-point percentage (34.8%). In 2023-24, the Wolfpack are 195th in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (7.2 per game) and 163rd in defensive 3-point percentage (33.7%).

The Wolfpack are 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. Five of NC State’s past 10 outings have hit the over. NC State has performed better offensively in its previous 10 games, tallying 77.1 points per contest, 0.8 more than its season average of 76.3. Over their past 10 games, the Wolfpack are surrendering 71.8 points per contest, 0.4 fewer points than their season average (72.2).

Duke vs. NC State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Duke, and we predict that Duke will cover the spread (Duke -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 143 points.

How to bet Duke vs. NC State

You can bet on Duke vs. NC State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Duke vs. NC State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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