Maple Leafs vs. Capitals: How to Watch, Odds, Picks & Predictions

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Thursday’s NHL lineup features a matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs (40-22-9) and the Washington Capitals (36-26-9) at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. The Maple Leafs are -180 on the moneyline to win at home against the Capitals (+150) in the game, which begins at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+ and MNMT.

You can tune in to ESPN+ and MNMT to watch as the Maple Leafs and the Capitals square off.

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Game Info & Odds

  • When: Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+ and MNMT
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
  • TV Channel: ESPN+ and MNMT
  • Favorite: Maple Leafs (-180)
  • Underdog: Capitals (+150)
  • Over/under: 6.5

Watch the Maple Leafs vs. Capitals live stream on Fubo

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Maple Leafs and Capitals Betting Trends

  • In 39 games this season, Toronto and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.
  • Washington has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 30 of 71 games this season.
  • The teams combine to score 6.3 goals per game, 0.2 fewer than this game’s over/under.
  • These two teams together give up 6.2 goals per game, 0.3 fewer than this game’souting’s total.
  • The Maple Leafs have been favored on the moneyline 55 times this season, and have gone 33-22 in those games.
  • The Capitals have been listed as an underdog 53 times this season, and won 22, or 41.5%, of those games.

Maple Leafs Stats & Insights

  • The Maple Leafs score the third-most goals in the NHL, averaging 3.6 per game for a total of 256 this season.
  • The Maple Leafs are ranked 19th in total goals against, allowing 3.2 goals per game (224 total) in NHL play.
  • Their goal differential (+32) ranks them 11th in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs convert 11% of their shots, ranking seventh in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have shut out opponents four times, averaging 24.2 hits and 16.6 blocked shots per game this season.
  • In the past 10 games, the Maple Leafs have claimed 70.0% of the possible points with a 5-4-1 record.
  • They have scored 36 goals during that time.
  • Over on the defensive end, the Maple Leafs have given up 30 goals (3.0 per game) over those 10 matchups.

Capitals Stats & Insights

  • The Capitals have scored 194 goals this season (2.7 per game) to rank 27th in the NHL.
  • The Capitals have allowed 220 total goals (3.1 per game) to rank 16th.
  • Their 27th-ranked goal differential is -26.
  • The 10.2% shooting percentage the Capitals have compiled ranks 13th in the league.
  • The Capitals have shut out their opponent six times this season.
  • In the past 10 games, the Capitals have gone 7-3-0 (85.0% of possible points).
  • They have totaled 31 goals during that stretch.
  • Over on the defensive end, the Capitals have given up 3.1 goals per game (31 total) in those 10 outings.

Maple Leafs Key Players to Watch

  • William Nylander is one of Toronto’s leading contributors with 94 points. He has 40 goals and 54 assists this season.
  • Auston Matthews has 59 goals and 34 assists to total 93 points (1.3 per game).
  • Ilya Samsonov has a record of 19-6-7. He has allowed 101 goals (3.12 goals against average) and racked up 811 saves.

Maple Leafs Player Props

  • William Nylander Points Prop: 1.50 (Over Odds: +110, Under Odds: -140)
  • William Nylander Assists Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: -166, Under Odds: +130)
  • Auston Matthews Points Prop: 1.50 (Over Odds: +114, Under Odds: -145)
  • Auston Matthews Assists Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: -115, Under Odds: -115)

Capitals Key Players to Watch

  • Dylan Strome’s 25 goals and 35 assists in 71 contests give him 60 points on the season, making him a key part of his team’s offense.
  • Alexander Ovechkin is pivotal for Washington’s attack with 58 total points (0.8 per game), including 26 goals and 32 assists through 68 games.
  • Charlie Lindgren has a .912 save percentage (16th in the league), with 1041 total saves, while conceding 101 goals (2.7 goals against average). He has put together a 21-12-5 record between the posts for Washington this season.

Capitals Player Props

  • Alexander Ovechkin Points Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: -200)
  • Alexander Ovechkin Assists Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: +124)
  • Dylan Strome Points Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: -135)
  • Dylan Strome Assists Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: +145)

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Injuries

  • Maple Leafs: Matt Murray: Hip (Out), John Klingberg: Hip (Out For Season), Auston Matthews: Illness (Questionable), Mark Giordano: Concussion (Out), Jake Muzzin: Back (Out For Season), Calle Jarnkrok: Hand (Out), Mitchell Marner: Ankle (Questionable), Morgan Rielly: Upper Body (Questionable), Ilya Samsonov: Undisclosed (Questionable), Joel Edmundson: Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Capitals: Nicklas Backstrom: Hip (Out), Ethan Bear: Personal (Out), Sonny Milano: Upper Body (Questionable)

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Prediction

  • Puck Line Pick:

    Maple Leafs (-1.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Under (6.5)

  • Score Prediction:
    Maple Leafs 4 – Capitals 2

You can check our live NHL lines for the latest NHL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

Tip: If you want to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Maple Leafs vs. Capitals picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

What is a parlay? Or even how to bet on hockey? Check out our complete guide to the best NHL betting sites.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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