Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, February 26, 2023

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The Golden State Warriors (30-30) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (31-31) at Chase Center, starting at 7:30 PM ET on Sunday, February 26, 2023. The Timberwolves are 3-point underdogs in the game. The over/under is set at 235.5 points for the matchup.

How to bet Warriors vs. Timberwolves

Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -154 odds to pick up the win, while the Timberwolves are listed at +131 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 235.5 points.

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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, February 26, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

In the Warriors’ 60 games this season, they have 27 wins against the spread. Golden State has been chosen as the favorite in 39 games this year and has walked away with the win 24 times (61.5%) in those games. The Warriors have hit the over in 56.5% of their opportunities this year (35 times over 62 games with a set point total).

In the Timberwolves’ 62 games this season, they have 28 wins against the spread. Minnesota has gone 15-16 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 48.4% of those games). The Timberwolves have gone over the point total 45.2% of the time this year (28 of 62 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Warriors Leaders
Klay Thompson 48 21.9 3.9 2.4 0.7 0.3 4.4
Jordan Poole 60 20.8 2.8 4.6 0.8 0.2 2.7
Donte DiVincenzo 50 9 4.1 3.3 1.3 0.1 2.1
Jonathan Kuminga 48 8.4 3.1 1.9 0.5 0.4 0.7
Draymond Green 53 8.1 7.4 6.8 1 0.8 0.6


Timberwolves Leaders
Anthony Edwards 62 25 5.9 4.5 1.6 0.6 2.7
Rudy Gobert 51 13.4 11.6 0.9 0.8 1.3 0
Jaden McDaniels 59 11.4 3.9 2 0.9 1 1.2
Jaylen Nowell 62 10.9 2.6 2 0.6 0.1 1.1
Mike Conley 47 10.6 2.4 7.5 1 0.2 1.8
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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Injury Report

Timberwolves: Karl-Anthony Towns: Out (Calf), Taurean Prince: Questionable (Personal)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Because of Golden State’s defensive struggles this year, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA with 118.3 points allowed per game, it has been forced to count on its offense, which ranks second-best in the league posting 118.5 points per game. Offensively the Warriors have performed better when playing at home this year, scoring 120.1 points per game, compared to 116.8 per game in road games. On the offensive side of the ball, the Warriors have picked up their production a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 120.2 points per contest over that span compared to the 118.5 they’ve put up over the course of this season.

Golden State is thriving when it comes to three-point shooting, as it ranks best in the league in threes (16.7 per game) and third-best in shooting percentage from beyond the arc (38.6%). This season, the Warriors have taken 52% two-pointers, accounting for 61.1% of the team’s baskets. They have shot 48% from three-point land (38.9% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Minnesota Timberwolves

In 2022-23, Minnesota is 10th in the league on offense (115.7 points scored per game) and 19th on defense (115.9 points conceded). The Timberwolves average 117.1 points per game at home, and 114 on the road. The Timberwolves are posting 118.3 points per game over their past 10 games, which is 2.6 more than their average for the season (115.7).

In 2022-23, Minnesota is 16th in the league in 3-point makes (11.9 per game) and 18th in 3-point percentage (35.6%). In 2022-23, the Timberwolves have attempted 61.6% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 38.4% percent from beyond it. In terms of made shots, 72.2% of the Timberwolves’ buckets have been 2-pointers, and 27.8% have been 3-pointers.

Our prediction to win this game is the Warriors, and we project that Warriors will cover the spread (Warriors -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 235.5 points.

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You can bet on Warriors vs. Timberwolves at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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