Warriors vs Thunder Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Tuesday, March 7, 2023

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A contest between a pair of the best offensive teams in the league sees the Golden State Warriors (34-31) visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (30-34) at Paycom Center on March 7, 2023. The Warriors rank third in points per game (118), and the Thunder are second (118.2). Golden State is favored by four points. The over/under is set as 243.5 points in this outing.

How to bet Warriors vs. Thunder

Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with oddsmakers listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -176 odds to pick up the win, while the Thunder are listed at +149 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 243.5 points.

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Warriors vs. Thunder Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, March 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center

Warriors vs. Thunder Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Warriors are 31-33-1 this season. Golden State has been chosen as the favorite in 43 games this year and has walked away with the win 27 times (62.8%) in those games. Warriors games this year have hit the over 35 times in 64 opportunities (54.7%).

The Thunder are 39-24-1 against the spread this season. Oklahoma City has won 19 of the 43 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (44.2%). Thunder games this season have eclipsed the over/under 56.2% of the time (36 out of 64 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Warriors Leaders
Stephen Curry 39 29.4 6.2 6.4 1 0.4 4.9
Klay Thompson 53 22.1 4.1 2.5 0.7 0.3 4.3
Jordan Poole 65 20.8 2.8 4.6 0.8 0.2 2.6
Donte DiVincenzo 55 9.3 4.4 3.3 1.3 0.2 2.1
Jonathan Kuminga 53 9 3.3 1.8 0.6 0.5 0.7


Thunder Leaders
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 55 31.1 4.8 5.7 1.7 1.1 0.9
Josh Giddey 59 16.3 7.7 6.1 0.8 0.5 0.9
Luguentz Dort 57 14 4.3 2.2 1 0.3 1.9
Jalen Williams 60 13.3 4.2 3.1 1.4 0.5 1
Isaiah Joe 54 9.5 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 2.4
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Warriors vs. Thunder Injury Report

Thunder: Aleksej Pokusevski: Out (Leg), Kenrich Williams: Out (Wrist), Jalen Williams: Questionable (Wrist)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State is giving up 117.1 points per game this season (21st-ranked in NBA), but it has really thrived offensively, posting 118 points per game (third-best). Offensively the Warriors have fared better at home this season, scoring 119.4 points per game, compared to 116.4 per game in away games. The Warriors have been putting up 114.9 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 118 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

In terms of three-point shooting, everything is clicking for Golden State, who is making 16.5 threes per game (best in NBA) and shooting 38.3% from beyond the arc (fourth-best). The Warriors are attempting 47 two-pointers per game this year, which account for 52.2% of the shots they’ve taken (and 61.5% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 43.1 three-pointers per contest, which are 47.8% of their shots (and 38.5% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the Oklahoma City Thunder

Offensively, Oklahoma City is the second-best squad in the NBA (118.2 points per game). On defense, it is 20th (116.6 points allowed per game). The Thunder average 120.5 points per game at home, and 115.5 on the road. While the Thunder are scoring 118.2 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark in their previous 10 games, producing 121.3 a contest.

Oklahoma City makes 12.3 3-pointers per game and shoots 36.1% from beyond the arc, ranking 13th and 14th, respectively, in the NBA. The Thunder take 63.4% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 36.6% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 71.9% of the Thunder’s buckets are 2-pointers, and 28.1% are 3-pointers.

Warriors vs. Thunder Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Warriors vs. Thunder at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Thunder picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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