Warriors vs Kings Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – NBA Playoffs Game 4

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The Golden State Warriors enter Game 4 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Sacramento Kings as 7.5-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Sunday starts at 3:30 PM ET on ABC from Chase Center. The Kings lead the series 2-1. The matchup’s point total is 237.

How to bet Warriors vs. Kings

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -352 odds to pick up the win, while the Kings are listed at +266 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 237 points.

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Warriors vs. Kings Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, April 23, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center

Warriors vs. Kings Betting Trends

In the Warriors’ 82 games this season, they have 39 wins against the spread. Golden State has come away with 37 wins in the 58 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season. Warriors games this year have hit the over 54.9% of the time (45 out of 82 games with a set point total).

The Kings have 45 wins against the spread in 82 games this year. Sacramento has a 13-17 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 43.3% of those games). Kings games this year have gone over the total in 40 of 82 opportunities (48.8%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Warriors Leaders
Stephen Curry 56 29.4 6.1 6.3 0.9 0.4 4.9
Klay Thompson 69 21.9 4.1 2.4 0.7 0.4 4.4
Jordan Poole 82 20.4 2.7 4.5 0.8 0.3 2.6
Andrew Wiggins 37 17.1 5 2.3 1.2 0.8 2.4
Jonathan Kuminga 67 9.9 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.8


Kings Leaders
De’Aaron Fox 73 25 4.2 6.1 1.1 0.3 1.6
Domantas Sabonis 79 19.1 12.3 7.3 0.8 0.5 0.4
Kevin Huerter 75 15.2 3.3 2.9 1.1 0.3 2.7
Harrison Barnes 82 15 4.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.6
Malik Monk 77 13.5 2.6 3.9 0.6 0.3 1.9
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Warriors: Gary Payton: Questionable (Illness), Ryan Rollins: Out (Foot), Andre Iguodala: Out (Wrist)

Kings: Matthew Dellavedova: Out (Finger), KZ Okpala: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State has been lifted by its offense, as it ranks second-best in the NBA by tallying 118.9 points per game. It ranks 21st in the league in points allowed (117.1 per contest). Offensively the Warriors have played better in home games this year, averaging 119.7 points per game, compared to 118.2 per game in road games. In their last 10 games, the Warriors have been scoring 121.1 points per contest, an average that’s a little higher than the 118.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Golden State is dominating in terms of three-point shooting, as it ranks best in the league in threes (16.6 per game) and second-best in shooting percentage from three-point land (38.5%). When it comes to shot breakdown, the Warriors have taken 52.1% two-pointers (accounting for 61.5% of the team’s buckets) and 47.9% threes (38.5%).

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What you need to know about the Sacramento Kings

Sacramento is the best team in the league in points scored (120.7 per game) and 25th in points conceded (118.1). The Kings are putting up more points at home (123.4 per game) than on the road (118). In their past 10 games, the Kings are compiling 116.1 points per contest, compared to their season average of 120.7.

Beyond the arc, Sacramento is fifth-best in the league in 3-pointers made per game (13.8). It is ninth in 3-point percentage at 36.9%. In 2022-23, the Kings have taken 42.3% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 57.7% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 31.6% of the Kings’ buckets have been 3-pointers, and 68.4% have been 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Warriors, and we expect that Kings will cover the spread (Warriors -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 237 points.

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You can bet on Warriors vs. Kings at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Kings picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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