Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, January 8, 2023

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A matchup featuring a pair of the league’s biggest stars will see Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (17-22) host Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (23-17) on January 8, 2023 at Paycom Center. The Thunder are four-point favorites. The over/under is 226.5 points for the matchup.

How to bet Thunder vs. Mavericks

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with sportsbooks listing the Thunder as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Thunder have -173 odds to pick up the win, while the Mavericks are listed at +147 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 226.5 points.

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Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 8, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSO
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center

Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

In the Thunder’s 39 games this season, they have 23 wins against the spread. Oklahoma City has come away with three wins in the 10 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season. The Thunder have hit the over in 55% of their opportunities this year (22 times over 40 games with a set point total).

The Mavericks have 14 wins against the spread in 40 games this year. Dallas has won 12.5% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (1-7). Mavericks games this season have hit the over on 23 of 40 set point totals (57.5%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Thunder Leaders
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 35 30.9 4.8 5.7 1.6 1.1 1
Josh Giddey 34 15.4 7.9 5.4 0.7 0.4 1.1
Luguentz Dort 38 14.2 4.2 2.3 1.1 0.3 1.8
Jalen Williams 35 11.7 3.7 2.8 0.9 0.4 0.8
Tre Mann 34 8.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.2 1.5


Mavericks Leaders
Luka Doncic 37 34 8.8 8.7 1.6 0.6 2.9
Christian Wood 37 17.9 8 1.5 0.5 1.2 1.8
Spencer Dinwiddie 39 16.1 3.1 5.1 0.8 0.2 2.5
Tim Hardaway Jr. 38 13.8 3.1 1.6 0.9 0.1 2.8
Jaden Hardy 12 5.9 1.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.5
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Thunder vs. Mavericks Injury Report

Mavericks: Dorian Finney-Smith: Out (Adductor), Josh Green: Out (Elbow), Maxi Kleber: Out (Hamstring)

What you need to know about the Oklahoma City Thunder

With 116.4 points per game on offense, Oklahoma City is eighth in the NBA. At the other end of the court, it surrenders 116.9 points per contest, which ranks 24th in the league. The Thunder post 118.8 points per game in home games, compared to 113.6 points per game in road games, a difference of 5.2 points per contest. On offense, the Thunder have picked up their output slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 119.5 points per contest over that span compared to the 116.4 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.

So far this year, Oklahoma City is sinking 12.1 treys per game (14th-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 35.6% (16th-ranked) from downtown. The Thunder have taken 63.6% two-pointers and 36.4% from beyond the arc this year. Of the team’s baskets, 72% are two-pointers and 28% are three-pointers.

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What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Offensively, Dallas is the 18th-ranked squad in the NBA (112.5 points per game). Defensively, it is fifth-best (110.8 points allowed per game). At home the Mavericks are putting up 113.7 points per game, 2.6 more than they are averaging on the road (111.1). While the Mavericks are scoring 112.5 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark over their past 10 games, producing 116 a contest.

Dallas is the third-best team in the league in 3-pointers made (14.7 per game) and 14th in 3-point percentage (35.8%). In 2022-23, the Mavericks have taken 49.1% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 50.9% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 37.4% of the Mavericks’ buckets have been 3-pointers, and 62.6% have been 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this game is the Thunder, and we predict that Mavericks will cover the spread (Thunder -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 226.5 points.

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You can bet on Thunder vs. Mavericks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Thunder vs. Mavericks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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