Phoenix vs. Oklahoma City Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (50-22) will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (third in NBA, 30.4 points per game) going up against Kevin Durant (fourth in league, 27.6) and the Phoenix Suns (43-30) on March 29, 2024 at Paycom Center.

The Suns are only a 1.5-point favorite when they and the Thunder play in a game projected to be a tight one. The point total for the game is 228.5.

Suns vs. Thunder Odds

Point Spread for Suns vs. Thunder

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Suns as the favorite.

Phoenix vs. Oklahoma City Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Phoenix has -122 odds to win the game, while Oklahoma City is listed at +102 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 228.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Friday, March 29, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • TV: KSBI

Suns vs. Thunder Betting Trends

The Suns have covered the spread 30 times over 73 games with a set spread. Phoenix has been the favorite in 53 games this season and won 35 (66%) of those contests. This season, 32 of the Suns’ games have gone over the point total out of 72 chances.

The Thunder have registered a 41-30-1 record against the spread this year. Oklahoma City has won in nine, or 52.9%, of the 17 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. Games involving the Thunder have hit the over 37 times this year.

Suns vs. Thunder Key Players to Watch

Suns

Durant posts 27.6 points, 6.8 boards and 5.2 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 1.3 blocks. Devin Booker averages 27.2 points, 4.8 boards and 6.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.4 blocks. Jusuf Nurkic is putting up 11.3 points, 3.8 assists and 11.0 boards per contest. Grayson Allen averages 13.5 points, 3.8 boards and 3.1 assists per game, shooting 50.8% from the field and 47.8% from beyond the arc (first in league), with 2.8 made 3-pointers per game.

Thunder

Gilgeous-Alexander’s averages for the season are 30.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 6.3 assists, making 54.0% of his shots from the floor and 36.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 triples per game. Chet Holmgren contributes with 16.7 points per game, plus 7.9 boards and 2.6 assists. Jalen Williams gives the Thunder 19.4 points, 4.0 boards and 4.6 assists per game, plus 1.1 steals and 0.6 blocks. The Thunder get 12.0 points, 6.2 boards and 4.5 assists per game from Josh Giddey.

What you need to know about the Suns

The Suns rank 10th in the NBA with 116.9 points per game so far this year. At the other end of the court, they rank 16th with 113.9 points allowed per game. The Suns are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game this season (eighth-ranked in NBA), and they’ve given up only 41.3 rebounds per contest (third-best). The Suns rank 11th in the NBA with 27.0 assists per contest.

Phoenix scores 117.1 points per game in home games, compared to 116.6 points per game on the road, a difference of 0.5 points per contest. With a 38.2% three-point percentage this season, Phoenix is fifth-best in the NBA. It ranks 19th in the league by sinking 12.2 treys per contest. Phoenix ranks 18th in the NBA with 13.2 treys allowed per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 13th with a 36.2% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Suns have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall in their last 10 games. Phoenix has gone over the total in five of its last 10 contests. In their last 10 games, the Suns have been putting up 115.2 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 116.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Phoenix has been tougher on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 111.5 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 113.9 points per game its opponents average on the 2023-24 season.

What you need to know about the Thunder

On offense, the Thunder are the third-best squad in the league (120.4 points per game). Defensively, they are 13th (113.2 points allowed per game). Oklahoma City is the fifth-worst team in the league in rebounds per game (41.9) and 24th in rebounds allowed (44.8). The Thunder are 13th in the NBA in assists (26.8 per game) in 2023-24.

The Thunder average 122.8 points per game at home, and 118.0 on the road. In 2023-24 the Thunder are eighth in the league in 3-point makes (13.4 per game) and best in 3-point percentage (39.0%). Defensively, Oklahoma City is 23rd in the league in 3-pointers conceded per game at 13.4. It is 14th in 3-point percentage allowed at 36.3%.

The Thunder have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games, with a 3-7 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Oklahoma City has gone over the total four times. Oklahoma City is averaging 116.6 points per game in its past 10 games, which is 3.8 fewer points than its average for the season (120.4). The Thunder have performed better defensively in their previous 10 games, allowing 111.7 points per contest, 1.5 fewer points than their season average of 113.2 allowed.

Suns vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Thunder, and we predict that Thunder will cover the spread (Suns -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 228.5 points.

How to bet Suns vs. Thunder

You can bet on Phoenix vs. Oklahoma City at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Phoenix vs. Oklahoma City picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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