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The Houston Rockets (36-35) travel to face the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-21) after winning five straight road games.
The Thunder are a 4.5-point favorite against the Rockets when the Thunder and the Rockets meet. The point total for the matchup is 226.5.
Thunder vs. Rockets Odds
Point Spread for Thunder vs. Rockets
The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Thunder as the favorite.
Oklahoma City vs. Houston Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Oklahoma City has -192 odds to win the game, while Houston is listed at +160 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 226.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Wednesday, March 27, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
- Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- TV: BSO
Thunder vs. Rockets Betting Trends
The Thunder have compiled a 41-29-1 record against the spread this season. Oklahoma City has entered the game as favorites 54 times this season and won 41, or 75.9%, of those games. Thunder games have gone over the total 36 times this season.
The Rockets have covered the spread 40 times this year (40-29-2). Houston has won in 14, or 31.8%, of the 44 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. Rockets games have gone over the total 33 times this season.
Thunder vs. Rockets Key Players to Watch
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s numbers for the season are 30.4 points, 6.3 assists and 5.6 boards per game. Chet Holmgren puts up 16.9 points, 8.0 boards and 2.6 assists per contest, shooting 53.6% from the field and 38.0% from downtown, with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game. Jalen Williams puts up 19.3 points, 4.0 boards and 4.5 assists per contest, shooting 54.0% from the field and 44.2% from beyond the arc (fourth in league), with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest. Josh Giddey puts up 11.8 points, 6.2 boards and 4.5 assists per contest, shooting 46.6% from the floor and 34.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.
Rockets
Fred VanVleet gets the Rockets 16.8 points, 3.7 boards and 8.2 assists per contest. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocks. Jalen Green’s averages on the season are 19.6 points, 5.0 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game, making 42.4% of his shots from the floor and 33.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 treys per game. Jabari Smith Jr. averages 13.3 points, 8.5 boards and 1.5 assists, making 45.2% of his shots from the field and 35.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 triples per game. Dillon Brooks gives the Rockets 12.9 points, 3.4 boards and 1.7 assists per game, plus 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocks.
What you need to know about the Thunder
The Thunder have been carried by their offense, as they rank fourth-best in the NBA by tallying 120.3 points per game. They rank 12th in the league in points allowed (112.9 per contest). The Thunder are pulling down just 41.8 rebounds per game (fourth-worst in NBA), and they are allowing 44.8 rebounds per contest (24th-ranked). This season, the Thunder rank 13th in the league in assists, putting up 26.8 per game.
Offensively Oklahoma City has fared better when playing at home this year, averaging 122.7 points per game, compared to 118.0 per game on the road. Oklahoma City is making 13.4 threes per game this year (ninth-ranked in NBA), and it has a 39.0% three-point percentage (best). So far this year, Oklahoma City is allowing 13.4 threes per game (24th-ranked in NBA) and is allowing opposing teams to shoot 36.3% (13th-ranked) from downtown.
The Thunder have gone 8-2 over their past 10 contests, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span. Four of Oklahoma City’s past 10 games have hit the over. The Thunder have seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 116.8 points per game in their last 10 contests, 3.5 points fewer than the 120.3 they’ve scored this season. Oklahoma City’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (110.5) is 2.4 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (112.9).
What you need to know about the Rockets
The Rockets are 15th in the NBA in points scored (114.2 per game) and 10th in points conceded (112.4). On the boards, Houston is third-best in the NBA in rebounds (46.0 per game). It is 23rd in rebounds allowed (44.6 per game). With 24.8 assists per game, the Rockets are 24th in the NBA.
At home, the Rockets average 116.7 points per game. Away, they average 111.5. The Rockets are 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (12.5 per game) and 22nd in 3-point percentage (35.4%). In 2023-24 Houston is eighth in the NBA in 3-pointers conceded (12.2 per game) and best in defensive 3-point percentage (34.5%).
The Rockets are 9-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their past 10 games. Houston has hit the over in seven of its past 10 games. Over its previous 10 games, Houston is scoring 122.7 points per contest, 8.5 more than its season average (114.2). The Rockets have fared better defensively over their last 10 games, allowing 109.8 points per contest, 2.6 fewer points than their season average of 112.4 allowed.
Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is Thunder, and we project that Thunder will cover the spread (Thunder -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 226.5 points.
How to bet Thunder vs. Rockets
You can bet on Oklahoma City vs. Houston at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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