Minnesota vs. Denver Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, May 16, 2024

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In Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the Minnesota Timberwolves will take on the Denver Nuggets.

The Timberwolves play the Nuggets in a game expected to be a hard-fought matchup. The Timberwolves are favored by only 2 points against the Nuggets. The matchup features an over/under of 205.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds

Point Spread for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with oddsmakers listing the Timberwolves as the favorite.

Minnesota vs. Denver Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Minnesota has -130 odds to win the game, while Denver is listed at +110 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 205 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: ESPN

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

The Timberwolves have registered a 40-40-2 record against the spread this season. Minnesota has entered the game as favorites 61 times this season and won 46, or 75.4%, of those games. Games involving the Timberwolves have hit the over 41 times this season.

The Nuggets have put together a 38-42-2 record against the spread this year. Denver has won in four of the 10 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. This year, Nuggets games have hit the over 35 times.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards’ numbers for the season are 25.9 points, 5.1 assists and 5.4 boards per game. Rudy Gobert’s numbers on the season are 14.0 points, 12.9 boards and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 66.1% from the floor (second in NBA). Karl-Anthony Towns’ numbers on the season are 21.8 points, 8.3 boards and 3.0 assists per contest, shooting 50.4% from the field and 41.6% from downtown, with 2.2 made 3-pointers per contest. Naz Reid’s numbers for the season are 13.5 points, 1.3 assists and 5.2 boards per game.

Nuggets

Nikola Jokic averages 26.4 points, 12.4 boards and 9.0 assists, making 58.3% of his shots from the floor (10th in league) and 35.9% from 3-point range, with 1.1 triples per game. Michael Porter Jr. averages 16.7 points, 7.0 boards and 1.5 assists, making 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 39.7% from 3-point range, with 2.7 treys per contest. The Nuggets receive 21.2 points per game from Jamal Murray, plus 4.1 boards and 6.5 assists. Aaron Gordon provides the Nuggets 13.9 points, 6.5 boards and 3.5 assists per game, plus 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocks.

What you need to know about the Timberwolves

The Timberwolves have been carried by their defense, as they rank best in the NBA by surrendering just 106.5 points per game. They rank 18th in the league in points scored (113.0 per contest). The Timberwolves are grabbing 43.6 boards per game this season (15th-ranked in NBA), and they’ve given up only 41.4 rebounds per game (fourth-best). The Timberwolves are averaging 26.6 assists per game, which ranks them 15th in the NBA in 2023-24.

Minnesota is putting up 112.0 points per game this season in home games, which is 2.0 fewer points than it is averaging in road games (114.0). Minnesota is making 12.6 treys per game this season (15th-ranked in NBA), and it has a 38.7% three-point percentage (third-best). Minnesota is allowing opponents to put up a 35.4% three-point percentage this season (sixth-ranked in NBA), but it has provided a lift by giving up just 11.4 threes per game (third-best).

The Timberwolves have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Minnesota has hit the over in seven of its past 10 contests. The Timberwolves’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, scoring 108.5 points a contest compared to the 113.0 they’ve averaged this year. Minnesota has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 106.1 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 106.5 it has surrendered per game this year.

What you need to know about the Nuggets

The Nuggets score 114.9 points per game and allow 109.6, ranking them 14th in the NBA on offense and sixth defensively. Denver is seventh in the league in rebounds per game (44.4) and seventh in rebounds conceded (42.3). This season the Nuggets are third-best in the league in assists at 29.5 per game.

At home, the Nuggets average 118.5 points per game. Away, they score 111.2. The Nuggets make 11.7 3-pointers per game and shoot 37.4% from beyond the arc, ranking 25th and ninth, respectively, in the league. Denver is the second-best team in the league in 3-pointers conceded (11.2 per game) and eighth in 3-point percentage defensively (35.5%).

The Nuggets have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their last 10 games. Denver has gone over the total in four of its past 10 contests. Denver is scoring 106.6 points per contest over its last 10 games, which is 8.3 fewer points than its average for the season (114.9). In their last 10 games, the Nuggets are surrendering 103.8 points per game, compared to their season average of 109.6 points allowed.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Timberwolves, and we predict that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Timberwolves -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 205 points.

How to bet Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

You can bet on Minnesota vs. Denver at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Minnesota vs. Denver picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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