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The Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves are doing battle in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with a decisive Game 7 next to come.
The Nuggets are a 4.5-point favorite against the Timberwolves when the Nuggets and the Timberwolves meet. The matchup’s over/under is set at 199.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds
Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorite.
Denver vs. Minnesota Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Denver has -198 odds to win the game, while Minnesota is listed at +164 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 199 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Sunday, May 19, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
- Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
- TV: TNT
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends
The Nuggets are 38-42-2 against the spread this season. This season, Denver has won 53 out of the 72 games, or 73.6%, in which it has been favored. Nuggets games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 35 times this season.
The Timberwolves have covered the spread in a game 40 times this season (40-40-2). Minnesota has been victorious in nine, or 45%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season. Timberwolves games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 41 times this season.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Nuggets
Nikola Jokic’s numbers on the season are 26.4 points, 9.0 assists and 12.4 boards per contest. Michael Porter Jr. posts 16.7 points, 7.0 boards and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.7 made 3-pointers per contest. Jamal Murray’s numbers on the season are 21.2 points, 4.1 boards and 6.5 assists per contest, shooting 48.1% from the floor and 42.5% from beyond the arc (10th in NBA), with 2.5 made 3-pointers per game. Aaron Gordon averages 13.9 points, 6.5 boards and 3.5 assists per contest, shooting 55.6% from the field.
Timberwolves
Anthony Edwards gives the Timberwolves 25.9 points, 5.4 boards and 5.1 assists per contest. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks. Rudy Gobert provides 14.0 points, 12.9 boards and 1.3 assists per contest, plus 0.7 steals and 2.1 blocks (sixth in league). The Timberwolves get 21.8 points per game from Karl-Anthony Towns, plus 8.3 boards and 3.0 assists. Naz Reid gets the Timberwolves 13.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.3 assists per contest, plus 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocks.
What you need to know about the Nuggets
The Nuggets rank 14th in the NBA with 114.9 points per game so far this season. At the other end, they rank sixth with 109.6 points allowed per game. So far this season, the Nuggets are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) and allowing 42.3 rebounds per contest (seventh-ranked). With 29.5 dimes per game, the Nuggets rank third-best in the league in the category.
In home games, Denver is posting 7.3 more points per game (118.5) than it is in road games (111.2). Denver ranks 25th in the NBA with 11.7 treys per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks ninth with a 37.4% shooting percentage from downtown. Denver ranks top-five this year in three-pointers allowed, currently second-best in the league with 11.2 threes ceded per game. Meanwhile, it ranks eighth with a 35.5% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.
The Nuggets are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Denver has hit the over four times. The Nuggets have been putting up 102.2 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s much lower than the 114.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 campaign. Denver’s defense has been more stingy as of late, as the team has given up 105.0 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 109.6 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
What you need to know about the Timberwolves
The Timberwolves are 18th in the league in points scored (113.0 per game) and best in points allowed (106.5). In 2023-24, Minnesota is 15th in the league in rebounds (43.6 per game) and fourth-best in rebounds allowed (41.4). At 26.6 assists per game, the Timberwolves are 15th in the league.
The Timberwolves average 112.0 points per game at home, and 114.0 away. The Timberwolves are 15th in the league in 3-pointers made (12.6 per game) and third-best in 3-point percentage (38.7%). Minnesota is the third-best squad in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (11.4 per game) and sixth in 3-point percentage defensively (35.4%).
The Timberwolves have gone 7-3 in their past 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. Six of Minnesota’s last 10 games have hit the over. In its previous 10 games, Minnesota is tallying 109.4 points per contest, compared to its season average of 113.0. The Timberwolves are giving up 100.6 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 5.9 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (106.5).
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is Nuggets, and we project that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Nuggets -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 199 points.
How to bet Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
You can bet on Denver vs. Minnesota at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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