Nuggets vs Suns Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Western Conference Semifinals Game 1

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The Denver Nuggets and the Phoenix Suns square off to begin the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Nuggets are 4-point favorites for the game, which goes live on TNT at 8:30 PM ET. The matchup’s over/under is 227.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Suns

Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with bookmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -175 odds to pick up the win, while the Suns are listed at +148 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 227 points.

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Nuggets vs. Suns Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, April 29, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Nuggets vs. Suns Betting Trends

In the Nuggets’ 82 games this year, they have 44 wins against the spread. Denver has been victorious in 43, or 70.5%, of the 61 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. Nuggets games this year have gone over the total in 37 out of 82 opportunities (45.1%).

The Suns have 41 wins against the spread in 82 games this season. Phoenix has won 28.1% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (9-23). Suns games this season have hit the over 40 times in 82 opportunities (48.8%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 69 24.5 11.8 9.8 1.3 0.7 0.8
Jamal Murray 65 20 4 6.2 1 0.2 2.6
Michael Porter Jr. 62 17.4 5.5 1 0.6 0.5 3
Aaron Gordon 68 16.3 6.6 3 0.8 0.8 0.9
Bruce Brown 80 11.5 4.1 3.4 1.1 0.6 1.1


Suns Leaders
Kevin Durant 47 29.1 6.7 5 0.7 1.4 2
Devin Booker 53 27.8 4.5 5.5 1 0.3 2.1
Deandre Ayton 67 18 10 1.7 0.6 0.8 0.1
Chris Paul 59 13.9 4.3 8.9 1.5 0.4 1.7
Cameron Payne 48 10.3 2.2 4.5 0.7 0.2 1.4
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Nuggets vs. Suns Injury Report

Suns: None

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

With 115.8 points per game on offense, Denver is 12th in the NBA. On defense, it cedes 112.5 points per contest, which ranks eighth in the league. The Nuggets are posting 119.4 points per game this year when playing at home, which is 7.2 more points than they’re averaging in road games (112.2). The Nuggets’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, racking up 112.4 points a contest compared to the 115.8 they’ve averaged this year.

Denver is sinking 11.8 three-pointers per game this season (18th-ranked in NBA), and it sports a 37.9% three-point percentage (fourth-best). The Nuggets have taken 63.9% two-pointers and 36.1% from beyond the arc this season. Of the team’s buckets, 72.9% are two-pointers and 27.1% are three-pointers.

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What you need to know about the Phoenix Suns

At 113.6 points scored per game and 111.6 points allowed, Phoenix is 17th in the league offensively and sixth on defense. At home the Suns are scoring 114.1 points per game, 0.9 more than they are averaging on the road (113.2). The Suns are averaging 119.3 points per contest over their last 10 games, which is 5.7 more than their average for the season (113.6).

Phoenix makes 12.2 3-pointers per game and shoots 37.4% from beyond the arc, ranking 13th and seventh, respectively, in the NBA. In 2022-23, the Suns have taken 63.8% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 36.2% percent from beyond it. In terms of made shots, 71% of the Suns’ baskets have been 2-pointers, and 29% have been 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this matchup is the Nuggets, and we expect that Nuggets will cover the spread (Nuggets -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 227 points.

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Suns at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Suns picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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