Nuggets vs Heat Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – NBA Finals Game 2

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The Miami Heat will look to pull off an upset as 8-point underdogs in Game 2 of the NBA Finals against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Sunday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on ABC. The Nuggets are up 1-0 in the series. The over/under for the matchup is 216.5 points.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Heat

Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8 points, with oddsmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -347 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +279 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 216.5 points.

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Nuggets vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, June 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Trends

The Nuggets have played 82 games, with 44 wins against the spread. Denver has been the favorite in 61 games this season and has come away with the win 43 times (70.5%) in those contests. Nuggets games this year have hit the over 37 times in 82 opportunities (45.1%).

The Heat have played 82 games, with 30 wins against the spread. Miami has won eight of the 24 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%). Heat games this season have hit the over on 40 of 82 set point totals (48.8%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players

Nuggets

Nuggets Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 69 24.5 11.8 9.8 1.3 0.7 0.8
Jamal Murray 65 20 4 6.2 1 0.2 2.6
Michael Porter Jr. 62 17.4 5.5 1 0.6 0.5 3
Aaron Gordon 68 16.3 6.6 3 0.8 0.8 0.9
Bruce Brown 80 11.5 4.1 3.4 1.1 0.6 1.1

Heat

Heat Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 64 22.9 5.9 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.6
Bam Adebayo 75 20.4 9.2 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Max Strus 80 11.5 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.2 2.5
Kyle Lowry 55 11.2 4.1 5.1 1 0.4 1.9
Caleb Martin 71 9.6 4.8 1.6 1 0.4 1.2
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Nuggets vs. Heat Injury Report

Heat: Cody Zeller: Questionable (Foot), Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee), Caleb Martin: Questionable (Illness), Tyler Herro: Out (Hand)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver is putting up 115.8 points per game (12th-ranked in NBA) this season, while ceding 112.5 points per contest (eighth-ranked). Offensively the Nuggets have played better at home this season, averaging 119.4 points per game, compared to 112.2 per game when playing on the road. On offense, the Nuggets have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 115.4 points per contest over that span compared to the 115.8 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.

With a 37.9% three-point percentage this season, Denver ranks fourth-best in the NBA. It ranks 18th in the league by making 11.8 treys per contest. Of the shots attempted by the Nuggets in 2022-23, 63.9% of them have been two-pointers (72.9% of the team’s made baskets) and 36.1% have been threes (27.1%).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

In 2022-23, Miami is worst in the league on offense (109.5 points scored per game) but second-best on defense (109.8 points allowed). The Heat average 111.4 points per game at home, and 107.5 on the road. Over their last 10 games, the Heat are scoring 105.6 points per game, 3.9 fewer points than their season average (109.5).

Miami is 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (12 per game) and fourth-worst in 3-point percentage (34.4%). The Heat take 59.2% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 40.8% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 69.5% of the Heat’s baskets are 2-pointers, and 30.5% are 3-pointers.

Nuggets vs. Heat Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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