Minnesota vs. Phoenix Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, April 20, 2024

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In Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Minnesota Timberwolves will meet the Phoenix Suns.

The Timberwolves are a slight 1-point favorite against the Suns. The matchup features an over/under of 214.

Timberwolves vs. Suns Odds

Point Spread for Timberwolves vs. Suns

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing the Timberwolves as the favorite.

Minnesota vs. Phoenix Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Minnesota has -115 odds to win the game, while Phoenix is listed at -105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 214 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: ESPN

Timberwolves vs. Suns Betting Trends

The Timberwolves have gone 40-40-2 against the spread this season. This season, Minnesota has won 46 out of the 61 games, or 75.4%, in which it has been favored. Timberwolves games have gone over the total 41 times this season.

The Suns have compiled a 35-45-2 record against the spread this year. Phoenix has been victorious in nine, or 42.9%, of the 21 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season. This year, Suns games have hit the over 36 times.

Timberwolves vs. Suns Key Players to Watch

Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards’ numbers for the season are 25.9 points, 5.1 assists and 5.4 boards per game, shooting 46.1% from the field and 35.7% from downtown, with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game. Rudy Gobert’s numbers on the season are 14.0 points, 12.9 boards and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 66.1% from the field (second in NBA). Karl-Anthony Towns’ numbers for the season are 21.8 points, 3.0 assists and 8.3 boards per game. Naz Reid’s numbers on the season are 13.5 points, 1.3 assists and 5.2 boards per contest.

Suns

Kevin Durant’s averages for the season are 27.1 points, 6.6 rebounds and 5.0 assists, making 52.3% of his shots from the field and 41.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 triples per contest. Devin Booker gets 27.1 points, 4.5 boards and 6.9 assists per game, plus 0.9 steals and 0.4 blocks. Jusuf Nurkic’s numbers for the season are 10.9 points, 11.0 rebounds and 4.0 assists per contest, making 51.0% of his shots from the field. The Suns get 13.5 points per game from Grayson Allen, plus 3.9 boards and 3.0 assists.

What you need to know about the Timberwolves

The Timberwolves have been lifted by their defense, as they rank best in the NBA by allowing only 106.5 points per game. They rank 18th in the league in points scored (113.0 per contest). The Timberwolves are pulling down 43.6 boards per game this season (15th-ranked in NBA), and they’ve given up only 41.4 rebounds per contest (fourth-best). The Timberwolves are delivering 26.6 dimes per game, which ranks them 15th in the NBA in 2023-24.

On offense, Minnesota puts up 112.0 points per game in home games, compared to 114.0 points per game on the road. Minnesota ranks third-best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 38.7%. It ranks 15th in the league by sinking 12.6 threes per contest. Minnesota is allowing opposing teams to put up a 35.4% three-point percentage this year (sixth-ranked in NBA), but it has provided a lift by giving up only 11.4 three-pointers per contest (third-best).

The Timberwolves are 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Minnesota has gone over the total six times. The Timberwolves have been putting up 112.4 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 113.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 campaign. Minnesota has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 108.0 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 106.5 it has surrendered this year.

What you need to know about the Suns

Offensively the Suns are the 10th-ranked team in the league (116.2 points per game). Defensively they are 13th (113.2 points conceded per game). In 2023-24, Phoenix is 10th in the league in rebounds (44.1 per game) and third-best in rebounds conceded (41.3). The Suns are 12th in the NBA in assists (27.0 per game) in 2023-24.

At home the Suns are putting up 115.8 points per game, 0.9 fewer points than they are averaging away (116.7). Beyond the arc, the Suns are 20th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (12.4). They are fifth-best in 3-point percentage at 38.2%. Phoenix gives up 13.1 3-pointers per game and concedes 36.4% from beyond the arc, ranking 18th and 15th, respectively, in the league.

The Suns are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Phoenix has gone over the total four times. In its past 10 games, Phoenix is scoring 110.4 points per contest, 5.8 fewer points than its season average (116.2). The Suns are giving up 106.3 points per game in their last 10 games, which is 6.9 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (113.2).

Timberwolves vs. Suns Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Timberwolves, and we predict that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Timberwolves -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 214 points.

How to bet Timberwolves vs. Suns

You can bet on Minnesota vs. Phoenix at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Minnesota vs. Phoenix picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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