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The Milwaukee Bucks (46-26) take the court against the New Orleans Pelicans (44-28) on March 28, 2024 on NBA.
The Bucks are just a 1.5-point favorite when they and the Pelicans hit the court in a game oddsmakers expect to be a hard-fought matchup. The game’s over/under is set at 224.5.
Bucks vs. Pelicans Odds
Point Spread for Bucks vs. Pelicans
The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Bucks as the favorite.
Milwaukee vs. New Orleans Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Milwaukee has -125 odds to win the game, while New Orleans is listed at +105 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 224.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
- Where: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana
- TV: NBA
Bucks vs. Pelicans Betting Trends
The Bucks have put together a record of 32-39-1 against the spread this season. Milwaukee has been the favorite in 60 games this season and won 43 (71.7%) of those contests. Bucks games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 36 times this season.
The Pelicans have registered a 40-30-2 record against the spread this season. New Orleans has won in 14, or 51.9%, of the 27 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. This year, 31 of the Pelicans’ games have gone over the point total.
Bucks vs. Pelicans Key Players to Watch
Bucks
Giannis Antetokounmpo is posting 30.6 points, 6.4 assists and 11.4 boards per game. Damian Lillard averages 24.5 points, 4.4 boards and 7.1 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.2 blocks. Brook Lopez’s numbers on the season are 12.4 points, 5.3 boards and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 48.2% from the floor and 36.2% from downtown, with 1.9 made 3-pointers per contest. Bobby Portis’ numbers for the season are 13.5 points, 7.3 boards and 1.2 assists per game, shooting 50.1% from the field and 39.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game.
Pelicans
Zion Williamson provides the Pelicans 22.7 points, 5.8 boards and 5.1 assists per contest. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.6 blocks. Jonas Valanciunas contributes with 12.5 points per game, plus 9.1 boards and 2.1 assists. CJ McCollum gives the Pelicans 18.7 points, 4.2 boards and 4.4 assists per contest, plus 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocks. The Pelicans get 11.1 points per game from Herbert Jones, plus 3.5 boards and 2.6 assists.
What you need to know about the Bucks
The Bucks have been lifted by their offense, as they rank third-best in the NBA by posting 120.6 points per game. They rank 22nd in the league in points allowed (117.0 per contest). The Bucks are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game (ninth-ranked in league). They are allowing 44.2 rebounds per contest (18th-ranked). So far this year, the Bucks rank 14th in the league in assists, dishing out 26.7 per game.
Offensively Milwaukee has played better at home this year, posting 122.9 points per game, compared to 118.2 per game away from home. Milwaukee has a 37.7% three-point percentage this year (eighth-ranked in NBA), but it has really shined by draining 14.4 three-pointers per game (fourth-best). With 12.7 threes conceded per game, Milwaukee ranks 12th in the NBA. It is ceding a 35.9% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks eighth in the league.
The Bucks have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over their last 10 contests. Milwaukee has gone over the total in six of its past 10 outings. On offense, the Bucks have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 116.0 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 120.6 they’ve put up over the course of this season. Milwaukee has been less stingy on defense lately, allowing 117.9 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 117.0 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2023-24 season.
What you need to know about the Pelicans
The Pelicans are 13th in the NBA in points scored (115.7 per game) and eighth in points conceded (110.5). New Orleans grabs 44.4 rebounds per game and give up 42.3 boards, ranking seventh and eighth, respectively, in the league. At 27.1 assists per game, the Pelicans are 11th in the league.
In 2023-24 the Pelicans are averaging 1.5 more points per game at home (116.5) than away (115.0). The Pelicans are 18th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (12.3 per game) and sixth in 3-point percentage (38.0%). In 2023-24 New Orleans is 23rd in the league in 3-pointers conceded (13.4 per game) and best in defensive 3-point percentage (34.5%).
The Pelicans are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests. New Orleans has hit the over in three of its last 10 games. New Orleans has performed worse offensively over its previous 10 games, compiling 109.9 points per contest, 5.8 fewer points its than season average of 115.7. Over their past 10 games, the Pelicans are surrendering 104.5 points per contest, 6.0 fewer points than their season average (110.5).
Bucks vs. Pelicans Prediction & Pick
Our prediction to win this matchup is Pelicans, and we expect that Pelicans will cover the spread (Bucks -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 224.5 points.
How to bet Bucks vs. Pelicans
You can bet on Milwaukee vs. New Orleans at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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