Miami vs. Portland Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, March 29, 2024

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The Portland Trail Blazers (19-54) will attempt to stop an eight-game losing streak when visiting the Miami Heat (39-33) on March 29, 2024 at FTX Arena.

The Heat are a double-digit favorite against the Trail Blazers when the Heat and the Trail Blazers meet. The Heat are favored by 13.5 points. The matchup’s point total is set at 210.

Heat vs. Trail Blazers Odds

Point Spread for Heat vs. Trail Blazers

The spread for this matchup is set at 13.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Heat as the favorite.

Miami vs. Portland Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Miami has -1100 odds to win the game, while Portland is listed at +700 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 210 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Friday, March 29, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
  • TV: BSSU

Heat vs. Trail Blazers Betting Trends

The Heat have covered the spread 34 times in 72 games with a set spread. Miami has entered the game as favorites 39 times this season and won 28, or 71.8%, of those games. Heat games have gone over the total 26 times out of 73 chances this season.

The Trail Blazers are 34-38-1 against the spread this year. Portland has come away with 18 wins in the 67 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season. Trail Blazers games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 37 times this year.

Heat vs. Trail Blazers Key Players to Watch

Heat

Bam Adebayo’s numbers on the season are 19.7 points, 3.9 assists and 10.6 boards per contest. Jimmy Butler is putting up 21.4 points, 4.8 assists and 5.4 boards per game. Jaime Jaquez Jr.’s numbers on the season are 12.3 points, 2.6 assists and 3.9 boards per game. Terry Rozier puts up 23.2 points, 3.9 boards and 6.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocks.

Trail Blazers

Jerami Grant’s averages for the season are 21.0 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists, making 45.1% of his shots from the field and 40.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per game. Deandre Ayton contributes with 15.8 points per game, plus 11.1 boards and 1.6 assists. The Trail Blazers receive 13.2 points per game from Scoot Henderson, plus 3.0 boards and 4.9 assists. The Trail Blazers get 8.5 points, 6.4 boards and 0.9 assists per game from Jabari Walker.

What you need to know about the Heat

The Heat have had to lean on their defense, which ranks fourth-best in the NBA (108.9 points allowed per game), as they rank fourth-worst in the league offensively with only 109.3 points per contest. With 42.1 rebounds per game, the Heat rank 25th in the NBA. They cede 42.9 rebounds per contest, which ranks 12th in the league. The Heat rank 22nd in the NBA with 25.6 assists per game.

Miami is averaging 111.6 points per game when playing at home. Away from home, it is averaging 107.1 points per contest. This year, Miami is draining 12.2 treys per game (19th-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 36.7% (13th-ranked) from beyond the arc. Miami is giving up 13.3 treys per game (21st-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing a 36.1% three-point percentage (11th-ranked).

The Heat have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Miami has hit the over twice. The Heat’s offense has been much less effective over their last 10 games, scoring 100.7 points a contest compared to the 109.3 they’ve averaged this season. Miami has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 102.3 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 108.9 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2023-24 season.

What you need to know about the Trail Blazers

Offensively, the Trail Blazers are the third-worst squad in the NBA (107.6 points per game). On defense, they are 17th (115.8 points conceded per game). On the glass, Portland is fifth-worst in the league in rebounds (41.9 per game). It is 16th in rebounds conceded (43.8 per game). The Trail Blazers are worst in the league in assists (23.1 per game) in 2023-24.

The Trail Blazers score 108.7 points per game at home, and 106.3 on the road. Beyond the arc, the Trail Blazers are 24th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (11.7). They are 22nd in 3-point percentage at 35.3%. Defensively, Portland is fifth-best in the league in 3-pointers conceded per game at 11.7. It is fifth-best in 3-point percentage conceded at 35.3%.

The Trail Blazers are 4-5-1 against the spread and 1-9 overall in their last 10 games. Six of Portland’s last 10 games have gone over the total. Portland has fared worse offensively in its last 10 games, averaging 104.1 points per contest, 3.5 fewer points its than season average of 107.6. The Trail Blazers are ceding 114.9 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.9 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (115.8).

Heat vs. Trail Blazers Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Heat, and we expect that Trail Blazers will cover the spread (Heat -13.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 210 points.

How to bet Heat vs. Trail Blazers

You can bet on Miami vs. Portland at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Miami vs. Portland picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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