Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, October 29

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The Dallas Mavericks (2-2) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (2-3) at American Airlines Center, tipping off at 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 29, 2022. The Thunder are 10.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has a 218.5 point total.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Mavericks as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Mavericks have -485 odds to pick up the win, while the Thunder are listed at +372 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 218.5 points.

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Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSOK
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center

Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Mavericks were 46-36-0 last season. Dallas put together a 40-10 record in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 80% of those games). The Mavericks had 31 of their 82 games go over the point total last year.

The Thunder had 48 wins in 82 games against the spread last season. Last season, Oklahoma City won 22 out of the 79 games, or 27.8%, in which it was the underdog. Last season, 41 of the Thunder’s 82 games went over the point total.

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players

Mavericks

Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Dončić 65 28.4 9.1 8.7 1.2 0.6 3.1
Christian Wood 68 17.9 10.1 2.3 0.8 1 1.9
Tim Hardaway Jr. 42 14.2 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.1 2.4
Spencer Dinwiddie 67 13.7 4.2 5.2 0.7 0.2 1.7
Dorian Finney-Smith 80 11 4.7 1.9 1.1 0.5 2.2

Thunder

Thunder Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 4 29.3 4.8 6.5 2.5 1.3 1.8
Tre Mann 5 14.8 3.2 3.2 1.2 0 2
Josh Giddey 3 14.3 8.3 5 0.3 1 1.3
Luguentz Dort 5 13.6 4.2 2.4 1.6 0 1
Mike Muscala 5 8.8 5.8 1 0 0.4 1
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Mavericks vs. Thunder Injury Report

Mavericks: Frank Ntilikina: Out (Ankle), Davis Bertans: Out (Knee)

Thunder: Josh Giddey: Out (Ankle), Jalen Williams: Out (Ankle), Chet Holmgren: Out (Foot)

What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Last year, Dallas was 24th in the league on offense (108 points scored per game) and second-best on defense (104.7 points allowed). The Mavericks put up 108.4 points per game when playing at home, compared to 107.7 points per game in away games, a difference of 0.7 points per contest.

Last year, Dallas was 10th in the NBA in 3-point makes (13.1 per game) and 19th in 3-point percentage (35%). The Mavericks attempted 43.9% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line last year, and 56.1% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 33.3% of the Mavericks’ baskets were 3-pointers, and 66.7% were 2-pointers.

What you need to know about the Oklahoma City Thunder

While Oklahoma City ranked in the bottom five in the NBA in points per game last season with 103.7 (worst), it ranked 15th in the league with 111.8 points given up per contest. At home, the Thunder scored 104.7 points per game last season. Away, they scored 102.8.

Oklahoma City ranked worst in the NBA with a 32.3% shooting percentage from three-point land. Meanwhile, it sank 12.1 three-pointers per game (17th-ranked in league). When it comes to shot breakdown, the Thunder took 58.1% two-pointers (accounting for 68.4% of the team’s buckets) and 41.9% from beyond the arc (31.6%).

Mavericks vs. Thunder Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Mavericks, and we expect that Mavericks will cover the spread (Mavericks -10.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 218.5 points.

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How to bet Mavericks vs. Thunder

You can bet on Mavericks vs. Thunder at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mavericks vs. Thunder picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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