Jazz vs Heat Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, December 31, 2022

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The Utah Jazz (19-19) host the Miami Heat (18-18) on December 31, 2022 at Vivint Smart Home Arena, where the Jazz are favored, by four points in a matchup pitting one of the highest-scoring squads in the NBA versus one of the strongest defensive teams. The Jazz are fourth in points scored per game (117.1), while the Heat are third in points conceded (109.3). The over/under for this matchup is set at 225.

How to bet Jazz vs. Heat

Utah Jazz vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with bookmakers listing the Jazz as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Jazz have -179 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +151 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 225 points.

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Jazz vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 31, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SN-RM
  • Location: Salt Lake City, Utah
  • Arena: Vivint Smart Home Arena

Jazz vs. Heat Betting Trends

The Jazz are 21-17-0 against the spread this season. Utah has won seven, or 46.7%, of the 15 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Jazz games this year have hit the over on 21 of 36 set point totals.

The Heat are 12-22-2 against the spread this year. Miami has won 27.3% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (3-8). Heat games this season have gone over the total in 17 of 36 opportunities (47.2%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Jazz Leaders
Lauri Markkanen 35 23.6 8.3 2 0.6 0.6 3
Jordan Clarkson 37 20.5 3.9 4.5 0.5 0.3 2.6
Malik Beasley 38 14.1 3.7 1.5 0.9 0.2 3.2
Collin Sexton 31 14.1 2.2 2.9 0.6 0.1 0.9
Kelly Olynyk 34 12.6 4.9 3.1 1.1 0.6 1.5


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 23 21.8 6.7 5.8 2.1 0.3 0.7
Tyler Herro 28 21.1 6 4.6 1 0.4 3.3
Bam Adebayo 32 20.9 9.8 3.2 1 0.7 0
Kyle Lowry 31 14 4.7 5.9 1.1 0.5 2.4
Max Strus 34 13.1 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 2.7
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Jazz: None

Heat: Caleb Martin: Questionable (Ankle), Victor Oladipo: Probable (Injury Management), Jimmy Butler: Out (Rest), Nikola Jovic: Out (Back), Dewayne Dedmon: Out (Foot), Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle)

What you need to know about the Utah Jazz

Utah has been lifted by its offense, as it ranks fourth-best in the NBA by posting 117.1 points per game. It ranks 23rd in the league in points allowed (116.3 per contest). Offensively the Jazz have performed better in home games this season, averaging 121.4 points per game, compared to 113.6 per game on the road. In their last 10 games, the Jazz have been scoring 115.9 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 117.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Utah ranks fifth-best in the NBA by draining 14.6 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage, it ranks 13th in the league at 36.6%. This season, the Jazz have taken 55.6% two-pointers, accounting for 65.6% of the team’s buckets. They have shot 44.4% from three-point land (34.4% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

In 2022-23, Miami is worst in the league offensively (108.5 points scored per game) but third-best on defense (109.3 points conceded). In 2022-23 the Heat are averaging 3.1 more points per game at home (110) than away (106.9). The Heat are scoring 108.5 points per game in their last 10 games, which is the same number of points they’re averaging for the season.

Miami makes 12.5 3-pointers per game and shoots 34.2% from beyond the arc, ranking 12th and 22nd, respectively, in the NBA. The Heat attempt 42.2% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 57.8% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 31.9% of the Heat’s baskets are 3-pointers, and 68.1% are 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this game is the Jazz, and we predict that Jazz will cover the spread (Jazz -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 225 points.

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You can bet on Jazz vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Jazz vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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