Mavericks vs Heat Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, April 1, 2023

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The Dallas Mavericks (37-40) take the court against the Miami Heat (40-37) as slight, 2-point favorites on Saturday, April 1, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET on NBA. The over/under for the contest is set at 224.5.

How to bet Mavericks vs. Heat

Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with oddsmakers listing the Mavericks as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Mavericks have -125 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +105 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 224.5 points.

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Mavericks vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, April 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBA
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Mavericks vs. Heat Betting Trends

The Mavericks have played 77 games, with 28 wins against the spread. Dallas has come away with 30 wins in the 50 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season. Mavericks games this year have eclipsed the over/under 50.6% of the time (39 out of 77 games with a set point total).

The Heat have 27 wins against the spread in 77 games this season. Miami has won six of the 22 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (27.3%). The Heat have eclipsed the over/under 45.5% of the time this season (35 of 77 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Mavericks Leaders
Luka Doncic 62 32.8 8.7 8.1 1.4 0.5 2.9
Kyrie Irving 57 26.8 5.1 5.4 1.1 0.8 3.2
Christian Wood 64 16.8 7.4 1.8 0.5 1 1.5
Tim Hardaway Jr. 68 14.1 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.2 2.9
Josh Green 57 9.2 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 1.1


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 61 22.6 5.9 5.1 1.8 0.3 0.6
Bam Adebayo 72 20.7 9.3 3.3 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 63 20.4 5.5 4.2 0.8 0.3 3.1
Max Strus 75 11.6 3.3 2.1 0.6 0.1 2.4
Kyle Lowry 51 11.5 4.2 5.1 1.1 0.4 2
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Mavericks: Frank Ntilikina: Questionable (Knee)

Heat: Bam Adebayo: Questionable (Hip), Kyle Lowry: Questionable (Knee), Nikola Jovic: Questionable (Back)

What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Dallas is posting 113.8 points per game (16th-ranked in NBA) this year, while giving up 113.3 points per contest (15th-ranked). The Mavericks are averaging 115.2 points per game when playing at home. On the road, they are averaging 112.4 points per contest. The Mavericks have seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 112.5 points per game in their last 10 outings, 1.3 points fewer than the 113.8 they’ve scored this year.

Dallas sports a 37.2% three-point percentage this season (ninth-ranked in NBA), but it has really shined by making 15.2 treys per contest (third-best). This year, the Mavericks have taken 51.3% two-pointers, accounting for 61.8% of the team’s buckets. They have shot 48.7% threes (38.2% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Offensively Miami is the worst squad in the league (108.7 points per game). But on defense it is second-best (109.8 points conceded per game). At home, the Heat score 110.7 points per game. On the road, they score 106.7. The Heat are posting 111.2 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is 2.5 more than their average for the season (108.7).

In 2022-23 Miami is 18th in the league in 3-point makes (11.7 per game) and fourth-worst in 3-point percentage (34.1%). In 2022-23, the Heat have attempted 59.6% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 40.4% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 69.8% of the Heat’s buckets have been 2-pointers, and 30.2% have been 3-pointers.

Our prediction to win this game is the Heat, and we project that Heat will cover the spread (Mavericks -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 224.5 points.

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You can bet on Mavericks vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mavericks vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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