Heat vs Lakers Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, December 28, 2022

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The Miami Heat (17-17) host the Los Angeles Lakers (14-20) at FTX Arena, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, December 28, 2022. The Lakers are 8-point underdogs in the game. The matchup’s over/under is 228.

How to bet Heat vs. Lakers

Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8 points, with bookmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Heat have -337 odds to pick up the win, while the Lakers are listed at +264 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 228 points.

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Heat vs. Lakers Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, December 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBA
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Lakers Betting Trends

The Heat are 11-21-2 against the spread this year. Miami has been the favorite in 24 games this season and has come away with the win 14 times (58.3%) in those contests. The Heat have eclipsed the over/under in 47.1% of their opportunities this year (16 times over 34 games with a set point total).

The Lakers have 13 wins against the spread in 34 games this season. Los Angeles has won eight of the 24 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%). Lakers games this year have eclipsed the over/under 21 times in 34 opportunities (61.8%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players

Heat

Heat Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 21 21.8 6.8 5.8 1.9 0.4 0.8
Tyler Herro 26 21.1 5.9 4.4 1 0.4 3.3
Bam Adebayo 30 20.8 9.8 3.4 0.9 0.6 0
Kyle Lowry 30 14.4 4.8 6 1.1 0.5 2.4
Max Strus 32 13.1 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.3 2.7

Lakers

Lakers Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
LeBron James 26 27.8 8 6.6 1.1 0.6 2
Lonnie Walker IV 31 15.1 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.4 2.1
Russell Westbrook 31 14.6 6.3 7.7 1 0.5 1.1
Austin Reaves 32 11.2 3 2.1 0.6 0.4 1.3
Thomas Bryant 20 10.9 5.5 1 0.4 0.5 0.7
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Heat: Gabe Vincent: Questionable (Knee), Bam Adebayo: Questionable (Illness), Udonis Haslem: Questionable (Achilles), Jimmy Butler: Questionable (Ankle), Caleb Martin: Probable (Ankle), Dewayne Dedmon: Out (Foot), Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle)

Lakers: Dennis Schroder: Probable (Foot), LeBron James: Probable (Ankle), Anthony Davis: Out (Foot), Juan Toscano-Anderson: Out (Ankle)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Although Miami is putting up just 108.1 points per game (worst in NBA), its defense has been playing really well, as it ranks fourth-best in the league by ceding 109.2 points per game. The Heat are putting up 109.9 points per game in home games. When playing on the road, they are averaging 106.1 points per contest. The Heat have been putting up 106.5 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 108.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

With 12.5 three-pointers per game, Miami is 12th in the NBA. It owns a 34.1% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 24th in the league. The Heat are attempting 49.8 two-pointers per game this year, which account for 57.6% of the shots they’ve taken (and 68% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 36.6 treys per contest, which are 42.4% of their shots (and 32% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the Los Angeles Lakers

In 2022-23, Los Angeles is sixth in the league offensively (116.1 points scored per game) and fourth-worst on defense (117.8 points conceded). At home the Lakers are putting up 117.2 points per game, 2.1 more than they are averaging on the road (115.1). In their previous 10 games, the Lakers are posting 120.7 points per game, 4.6 more than their season average (116.1).

Beyond the arc, Los Angeles is second-worst in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (10.4). It is ranked 25th in 3-point percentage at 33.8%. The Lakers take 34.5% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 65.5% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 24.3% of the Lakers’ buckets are 3-pointers, and 75.7% are 2-pointers.

Our pick to win this game is the Heat, and we project that Lakers will cover the spread (Heat -8). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 228 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Lakers at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Lakers picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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