Heat vs Knicks Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 6

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The Miami Heat head into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the New York Knicks as 6.5-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Friday begins at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN from FTX Arena. The Heat lead the series 3-2. The matchup has a 206.5 point total.

How to bet Heat vs. Knicks

Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -249 odds to pick up the win, while the Knicks are listed at +204 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 206.5 points.

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Heat vs. Knicks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, May 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Knicks Betting Trends

In the Heat’s 82 games this season, they have 30 wins against the spread. Miami has been victorious in 36, or 62.1%, of the 58 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. Heat games this year have gone over the total in 40 out of 82 opportunities (48.8%).

The Knicks have 45 wins against the spread in 82 games this season. New York has put together a 20-21 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 48.8% of those games). Knicks games this season have gone over the point total 53.7% of the time (44 out of 82 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 64 22.9 5.9 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.6
Bam Adebayo 75 20.4 9.2 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Max Strus 80 11.5 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.2 2.5
Kyle Lowry 55 11.2 4.1 5.1 1 0.4 1.9
Caleb Martin 71 9.6 4.8 1.6 1 0.4 1.2


Knicks Leaders
Julius Randle 77 25.1 10 4.1 0.6 0.3 2.8
Jalen Brunson 68 24 3.5 6.2 0.9 0.2 2
RJ Barrett 73 19.6 5 2.8 0.4 0.2 1.7
Immanuel Quickley 81 14.9 4.2 3.4 1 0.2 2.1
Quentin Grimes 71 11.3 3.2 2.1 0.7 0.4 2.2
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Heat vs. Knicks Injury Report

Knicks: Evan Fournier: Out (Illness), Immanuel Quickley: Doubtful (Ankle), Jericho Sims: Out (Shoulder)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Although Miami is putting up just 109.5 points per game (worst in NBA), its defense has been helping to pick up the slack, as it ranks second-best in the league by ceding 109.8 points per game. When playing at home, the Heat are putting up 3.9 more points per game (111.4) than they are in road games (107.5). The Heat have been racking up 115 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly higher than the 109.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign.

Miami ranks 16th in the NBA by making 12 three-pointers per game, but it owns a 34.4% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks fourth-worst in the league. The Heat are attempting 50.5 two-pointers per game this season, which account for 59.2% of the shots they’ve attempted (and 69.5% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 34.8 threes per contest, which are 40.8% of their shots (and 30.5% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the New York Knicks

New York scores 116 points per game and allow 113.1, making them 11th in the NBA offensively and 12th defensively. At home the Knicks are putting up 117.3 points per game, 2.5 more than they are averaging away (114.8). While the Knicks are scoring 116 points per game in 2022-23, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, amassing 100.9 points per contest.

New York is 11th in the league in 3-pointers made (12.6 per game) and 19th in 3-point percentage (35.4%). The Knicks take 40% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 60% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 30.1% of the Knicks’ baskets are 3-pointers, and 69.9% are 2-pointers.

Our pick to win this matchup is the Heat, and we predict that Knicks will cover the spread (Heat -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 206.5 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Knicks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Knicks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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