Heat vs Celtics Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Tuesday, January 24, 2023

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The Miami Heat (26-22) host the Boston Celtics (35-13) on January 24, 2023 at FTX Arena. The Heat are favorites, by 4.5 points, in a matchup pitting one of the NBA’s strongest defensive teams in the league versus one of the best offensive squads. The Heat are second in points allowed per contest (108.4), while the Celtics are second in points scored (118.1). The matchup has a 215.5 point total.

How to bet Heat vs. Celtics

Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -184 odds to pick up the win, while the Celtics are listed at +156 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 215.5 points.

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Heat vs. Celtics Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, January 24, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Celtics Betting Trends

The Heat have 18 wins against the spread in 48 games this year. Miami has been chosen as the favorite in 34 games this year and has walked away with the win 22 times (64.7%) in those games. Heat games this year have gone over the point total 21 times in 48 opportunities (43.8%).

Against the spread, the Celtics are 25-21-2 this year. Boston has been listed as the moneyline underdog just two other times so far this season, and it won both games. Celtics games this year have eclipsed the over/under 24 times in 48 opportunities (50%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 34 21.6 6.1 5 2.1 0.4 0.6
Bam Adebayo 43 21.4 10.1 3 1.1 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 36 20.8 5.9 4.4 0.9 0.3 3.1
Kyle Lowry 39 12.8 4.4 5.4 1.2 0.4 2.1
Max Strus 46 12.6 3.7 2.2 0.7 0.2 2.6


Celtics Leaders
Jayson Tatum 45 31 8.4 4.4 1.1 0.8 3.3
Jaylen Brown 43 26.9 7.1 3.3 1.1 0.5 2.5
Derrick White 48 9.9 3 3.4 0.8 0.9 1.5
Al Horford 38 9.5 6.3 2.6 0.6 1 2.1
Grant Williams 47 9 4.7 1.7 0.7 0.4 1.5
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Heat vs. Celtics Injury Report

Celtics: Robert Williams: Out (Knee), Malcolm Brogdon: Out (Personal), Marcus Smart: Out (Ankle), Danilo Gallinari: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Although Miami is scoring just 108.6 points per game (worst in NBA), its defense has been helping to pick up the slack, as it ranks second-best in the league by ceding 108.4 points per game. The Heat are scoring 109.3 points per game this year when playing at home, which is 1.3 more points than they’re averaging away from home (108). The Heat’s offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, scoring 107.2 points a contest compared to the 108.6 they’ve averaged this season.

Miami ranks 15th in the NBA by making 11.9 threes per game, but it has a 33.5% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks fourth-worst in the league. In terms of shot breakdown, the Heat have taken 59% two-pointers (accounting for 69.8% of the team’s baskets) and 41% threes (30.2%).

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What you need to know about the Boston Celtics

Boston is the second-best team in the NBA in points scored (118.1 per game) and ninth in points conceded (112.3). At home, the Celtics average 121.9 points per game. Away, they score 114.6. While the Celtics are scoring 118.1 points per game in 2022-23, they have fallen short of that over their last 10 games, producing 116.3 points per contest.

In 2022-23 Boston is second-best in the NBA in 3-point makes (15.6 per game), and it ranks No. 8 in 3-point percentage (37.2%). The Celtics attempt 47.3% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 37% of their made baskets are from there. Inside the arc, they attempt 52.7% of their shots, with 63% of their makes coming from there.

Our prediction to win this contest is the Celtics, and we expect that Celtics will cover the spread (Heat -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 215.5 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Celtics at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Celtics picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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