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The Denver Nuggets (51-21) aim to extend a five-game home winning run when hosting the Phoenix Suns (42-30) on March 27, 2024.
The Nuggets take the court as 7-point favorites against the Suns. The matchup’s point total is set at 227.5.
Nuggets vs. Suns Odds
Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Suns
The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with oddsmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorite.
Denver vs. Phoenix Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Denver has -270 odds to win the game, while Phoenix is listed at +220 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 227.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Wednesday, March 27, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET
- Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
- TV: ESPN
Nuggets vs. Suns Betting Trends
The Nuggets have compiled a 33-37-2 record against the spread this season. Denver has won 47, or 75.8%, of the 62 games it has played as the favorite this season. Games involving the Nuggets have hit the over 30 times this season.
The Suns have put together a 29-41-2 record against the spread this year. Phoenix has been chosen as underdogs in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win six times (33.3%) in those games. Games involving the Suns have hit the over 32 times this year.
Nuggets vs. Suns Key Players to Watch
Nuggets
Nikola Jokic puts up 26.1 points, 12.3 boards and 9.0 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.9 blocks. Michael Porter Jr. posts 16.9 points, 7.0 boards and 1.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocks. Jamal Murray’s numbers on the season are 20.9 points, 6.7 assists and 4.1 boards per contest. Aaron Gordon is putting up 13.8 points, 3.4 assists and 6.5 boards per game.
Suns
Kevin Durant’s averages for the season are 27.6 points, 6.7 rebounds and 5.3 assists, making 52.8% of his shots from the floor and 41.8% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 triples per contest. Devin Booker provides 27.4 points, 4.8 boards and 6.9 assists per contest, plus 0.9 steals and 0.4 blocks. Jusuf Nurkic provides the Suns 11.3 points, 11.0 boards and 3.8 assists per contest, plus 1.0 steal and 1.0 block. The Suns get 13.5 points per game from Grayson Allen, plus 3.8 boards and 3.1 assists.
What you need to know about the Nuggets
With 114.8 points per game on offense, the Nuggets rank 14th in the NBA. At the other end of the court, they cede 110.0 points per contest, which ranks seventh in the league. So far this year, the Nuggets are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game (ninth-ranked in NBA) and ceding 42.1 rebounds per contest (seventh-ranked). The Nuggets have been racking up assists in 2023-24, ranking third-best in the NBA with 29.3 assists per game.
In home games, Denver is posting 8.1 more points per game (119.0) than it is away from home (110.9). While Denver is in the bottom five in the NBA in treys per game with 11.4 (third-worst), it ranks 11th in the league with a 37.2% three-point percentage. Denver is allowing opponents to post a 35.8% three-point percentage this year (eighth-ranked in NBA), but it has provided a lift by allowing just 11.2 threes per game (second-best).
The Nuggets have gone 9-1 in their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Denver has hit the over in seven of its last 10 outings. The Nuggets have seen an increase in scoring recently, racking up 117.4 points per game in their last 10 outings, 2.6 points more than the 114.8 they’ve scored this year. Denver has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 107.6 points per game during its last 10 contests compared to the 110.0 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2023-24 season.
What you need to know about the Suns
The Suns are 10th in the league in points scored (117.1 per game) and 16th in points conceded (114.1). Phoenix is eighth in the NBA in rebounds per game (44.3) and third-best in rebounds conceded (41.3). The Suns are 12th in the league in assists (27.0 per game) in 2023-24.
In 2023-24 the Suns are scoring 0.1 more points per game at home (117.1) than away (117.0). In 2023-24 the Suns are 19th in the NBA in 3-point makes (12.2 per game) and fifth-best in 3-point percentage (38.1%). Phoenix is 19th in the NBA in 3-pointers conceded (13.3 per game) and 14th in 3-point percentage defensively (36.4%).
The Suns have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Phoenix has hit the over five times. Phoenix has fared worse offensively in its last 10 games, compiling 116.8 points per contest, 0.3 fewer points its than season average of 117.1. In their previous 10 games, the Suns are allowing 113.1 points per game, compared to their season average of 114.1 points allowed.
Nuggets vs. Suns Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is Nuggets, and we project that Nuggets will cover the spread (Nuggets -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 227.5 points.
How to bet Nuggets vs. Suns
You can bet on Denver vs. Phoenix at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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