Denver vs. Minnesota Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

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The Denver Nuggets (51-22) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (50-22) in a matchup between the top two clubs in the Western Conference at Ball Arena on March 29, 2024 on ALT.

The Nuggets head into their game against the Timberwolves as a 7-point favorite. The point total for the matchup is set at 212.5.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds

Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with sportsbooks listing the Nuggets as the favorite.

Denver vs. Minnesota Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Denver has -270 odds to win the game, while Minnesota is listed at +220 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 212.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Friday, March 29, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: ALT

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Nuggets have covered the spread in a game 33 times this season (33-38-2). Denver has won 47, or 74.6%, of the 63 games it has played as the favorite this season. Games involving the Nuggets have hit the over 30 times out of 72 chances this season.

The Timberwolves have registered a 37-33-2 record against the spread this season. Minnesota has come away with eight wins in the 17 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season. Timberwolves games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 35 times this year.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

Nuggets

Nikola Jokic averages 26.1 points, 12.2 boards and 9.0 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.9 blocks. Michael Porter Jr. averages 16.9 points, 7.0 boards and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 49.2% from the floor and 40.3% from downtown, with 2.8 made 3-pointers per contest. Jamal Murray is putting up 20.9 points, 6.7 assists and 4.1 boards per game. Aaron Gordon’s numbers for the season are 13.9 points, 6.5 boards and 3.3 assists per game, shooting 55.2% from the field.

Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards’ averages for the season are 26.2 points, 5.5 rebounds and 5.2 assists, making 46.4% of his shots from the floor and 37.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.5 triples per contest. Rudy Gobert provides 13.6 points, 12.9 boards and 1.3 assists per game, plus 0.6 steals and 2.1 blocks (sixth in league). The Timberwolves receive 11.0 points, 2.9 boards and 6.0 assists per game from Mike Conley. Naz Reid gives the Timberwolves 13.2 points, 5.1 boards and 1.3 assists per game, plus 0.7 steals and 0.9 blocks.

What you need to know about the Nuggets

With 114.6 points per game on offense, the Nuggets rank 14th in the NBA. On defense, they allow 109.9 points per contest, which ranks seventh in the league. The Nuggets are pulling down 44.2 rebounds per game (ninth-ranked in league). They are allowing 42.2 rebounds per contest (seventh-ranked). The Nuggets have been one of the top teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are averaging 29.2 per game (third-best in NBA).

Offensively Denver has performed better in home games this season, putting up 118.4 points per game, compared to 110.9 per game in road games. While Denver ranks in the bottom five in the NBA in treys per game with 11.4 (third-worst), it ranks 11th in the league with a 37.0% three-point percentage. Denver ranks top-five this year in three-pointers allowed, currently second-best in the league with 11.3 treys ceded per game. Meanwhile, it ranks ninth with a 35.9% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Nuggets are 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. Denver has hit the over in six of its last 10 contests. The Nuggets’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, racking up 115.6 points per contest compared to the 114.6 they’ve averaged this season. Denver has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 107.1 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 109.9 it has conceded per game this season.

What you need to know about the Timberwolves

In 2023-24, the Timberwolves are 18th in the league on offense (113.1 points scored per game) and best defensively (106.3 points conceded). On the boards, Minnesota is 11th in the NBA in rebounds (43.9 per game). It is third-best in rebounds conceded (41.3 per game). At 26.5 assists per game, the Timberwolves are 16th in the NBA.

At home, the Timberwolves average 111.4 points per game. On the road, they average 114.6. The Timberwolves are 15th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (12.7 per game) and third-best in 3-point percentage (38.8%). Defensively, Minnesota is second-best in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed per game at 11.3. It is third-best in 3-point percentage conceded at 35.0%.

The Timberwolves are 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 games. Minnesota has hit the over in five of its past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Minnesota is putting up 111.3 points per contest, compared to its season average of 113.1. While the Timberwolves are giving up 106.3 points per game in 2023-24, they have bettered that mark over their last 10 games, allowing 105.5 points per contest.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Nuggets, and we expect that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Nuggets -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 212.5 points.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

You can bet on Denver vs. Minnesota at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Denver vs. Minnesota picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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