Celtics vs Heat Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, October 21

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The Boston Celtics (1-0) visit the Miami Heat (0-1) at FTX Arena, beginning at 7:30 PM ET on Friday, October 21, 2022. The Heat are slight, 2.5-point underdogs in the game. The over/under for the matchup is 219.5 points.

Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Celtics as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Celtics have -134 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +113 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 219.5 points.


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Celtics vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, October 21, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Trends

The Celtics’ record against the spread last season was 44-36-2. Boston won 44 of the 60 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (73.3%). There were 40 Celtics games (out of 82) that went over the total last season.

The Heat had 46 wins in 82 games against the spread last season. Miami won 14, or 60.9%, of the 23 games it played as underdogs last season. Last season, 48 of the Heat’s 82 games went over the point total.

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Jayson Tatum 76 26.9 8 4.4 0.9 0.6 3
Jaylen Brown 66 23.6 6.1 3.5 1 0.3 2.5
Malcolm Brogdon 36 19.1 5.1 5.9 0.9 0.4 1.6
Derrick White 75 13.2 3.5 4.9 0.9 0.8 1.5
Marcus Smart 71 12.1 3.8 5.9 1.7 0.3 1.7


Jimmy Butler 57 21.4 5.9 5.5 1.6 0.5 0.5
Tyler Herro 66 20.7 5 4 0.7 0.1 2.7
Bam Adebayo 56 19.1 10.1 3.4 1.4 0.8 0
Kyle Lowry 63 13.3 4.4 7.4 1.1 0.2 2.3
Victor Oladipo 8 12.4 2.9 3.5 0.6 0.1 1.9


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Celtics vs. Heat Injury Report

Celtics: Robert Williams: Out (Knee), Danilo Gallinari: Out (Knee)

Heat: Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle), Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Boston Celtics

Last year, Boston was 12th in the NBA on offense (111.8 points scored per game) and best defensively (104.5 points conceded). Offensively the Celtics were worse at home last season, scoring 110.8 points per game, compared to 112.8 per game away from home.

At 13.2 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc last season, Boston was eighth and 13th in the NBA, respectively, in those categories. The Celtics attempted 42.5% percent of their shots from beyond the arc last season, and 32.5% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they attempted 57.5% of their shots, with 67.5% of their makes coming from there.

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami sported a top-five defense last season, ranking fourth-best in the league with 105.6 points allowed per game. Offensively, it ranked 17th with 110 points scored per contest. In 2021-22, the Heat scored 1.5 more points per game at home (110.8) than away (109.3).

Miami ranked best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 37.9%. It ranked sixth in the league by making 13.6 threes per contest. Of the shots taken by the Heat last year, 57.8% of them were two-pointers (65.7% of the team’s made baskets) and 42.2% were threes (34.3%).

Celtics vs. Heat Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Heat, and we project that Heat will cover the spread (Celtics -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 219.5 points.


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How to bet Celtics vs. Heat

You can bet on Celtics vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Celtics vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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