A matchup pitting one of the NBA’s highest-scoring squads versus one of the strongest teams defensively, the Golden State Warriors (34-33) host the Milwaukee Bucks (48-18) at Chase Center on March 11, 2023. The Warriors are third in points per game (118), and the Bucks are fifth in points allowed (111.7). Golden State is a favorite, by 3.5 points. The point total in the game is set at 240.5.
How to bet Warriors vs. Bucks
Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks Odds
The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Warriors as the favorites.
As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -155 odds to pick up the win, while the Bucks are listed at +133 to claim victory.
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 240.5 points.
Warriors vs. Bucks Game Time and How to Watch
- Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ABC
- Location: San Francisco, California
- Arena: Chase Center
Warriors vs. Bucks Betting Trends
In the Warriors’ 67 games this season, they have 31 wins against the spread. Golden State has been chosen as the favorite in 45 games this year and has walked away with the win 27 times (60%) in those games. Warriors games this year have gone over the total in 37 out of 66 opportunities (56.1%).
The Bucks have played 66 games, with 36 wins against the spread. Milwaukee has won four of the 12 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (33.3%). The Bucks have eclipsed the over/under 47% of the time this season (31 of 66 games with a set point total).
Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players
Warriors: Andrew Wiggins: Out (Personal), Gary Payton: Out (Abdominal), Jonathan Kuminga: Questionable (Ankle), Ryan Rollins: Out (Foot)
Bucks: Giannis Antetokounmpo: Questionable (Illness), Goran Dragic: Probable (Knee), Serge Ibaka: Out (Personal), Wesley Matthews: Out (Calf)
What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors
Golden State has a top-five offense this year, ranking third-best in the league with 118 points per game. At the other end, it ranks 25th with 117.6 points allowed per contest. Offensively the Warriors have performed better when playing at home this year, scoring 119.4 points per game, compared to 116.6 per game in road games. The Warriors’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, putting up 114.9 points a contest compared to the 118 they’ve averaged this season.
Golden State is dominating when it comes to three-point shooting, as it ranks best in the league in three-pointers (16.5 per game) and fourth-best in shooting percentage from three-point land (38.2%). In terms of shot breakdown, the Warriors have taken 51.9% two-pointers (accounting for 61.3% of the team’s buckets) and 48.1% threes (38.7%).
What you need to know about the Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is ninth in the NBA in points scored (115.9 per game) and fifth-best in points allowed (111.7). In 2022-23 the Bucks are scoring 7.7 more points per game at home (119.6) than away (111.9). The Bucks are scoring 123.1 points per game in their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 115.9.
In 2022-23 Milwaukee is fourth-best in the NBA in 3-point makes (14.8 per game), and it ranks No. 11 in 3-point percentage (36.5%). The Bucks attempt 44.7% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 55.3% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 35% of the Bucks’ buckets are 3-pointers, and 65% are 2-pointers.
Our prediction to win this matchup is the Bucks, and we project that Bucks will cover the spread (Warriors -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 240.5 points.
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