Texas vs Kansas Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Kansas Jayhawks (25-5, 13-4 Big 12) will try to build on a seven-game winning run when visiting the Texas Longhorns (22-8, 11-6 Big 12) at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Moody Center. The contest airs on ESPN.

Texas is a modest 3.5-point favorite against Kansas when the Longhorns take on the Jayhawks on Saturday. The matchup’s point total is 149.5.

Texas vs. Kansas Odds

Point Spread for Texas vs. Kansas

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Texas as the favorite.

Texas vs. Kansas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas has -174 odds to pick up the win, while Kansas is listed at +148 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 149.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Austin, Texas
  • Arena: Moody Center

Texas vs. Kansas Betting Trends

In Texas’ 30 games this year, it has 13 wins against the spread. The Longhorns have been victorious in 18, or 85.7%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Texas’ games this year have gone over the point total 16 times in 30 opportunities (53.3%).

Kansas is 14-16-0 against the spread this season. The Jayhawks are 3-2 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games). Kansas’ games this season have eclipsed the over/under 16 times in 30 opportunities (53.3%).

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Texas vs. Kansas Key Players to Watch


Timmy Allen paces the Longhorns at 5.5 rebounds per contest, while also putting up 3.5 assists and 10.7 points. Jabari Rice is averaging 12.2 points, 2 assists and 3.3 rebounds per contest. Tyrese Hunter averages 10.2 points, 2.9 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. Defensively, he posts 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.


Jalen Wilson is the Jayhawks’ top scorer (19.6 points per game) and rebounder (8.3), and averages 2.5 assists. Kevin McCullar is averaging 11.2 points, 7.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest, making 43.7% of his shots from the floor. Gradey Dick is averaging 14.5 points, 5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, making 44.3% of his shots from the field and 40.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 treys per game. Dajuan Harris is putting up a team-high 6.2 assists per contest. And he is contributing 8.7 points and 2.4 rebounds, making 48.2% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Texas Longhorns

Texas is 8-9-0 ATS in conference games this season. On offense, the Longhorns are posting 79 points per game (30th-ranked in college basketball). They are giving up 69 points per contest on defense (143rd-ranked). Texas is grabbing 31.4 boards per game (203rd-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 30.9 rebounds per contest (173rd-ranked).

The Longhorns average 85.4 points per game when playing at home, compared to 69.4 points per game away from home, a difference of 16 points per contest. Texas is 175th in the country with 7.5 treys per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 161st with a 34.7% shooting percentage from downtown. This season, the Longhorns are ceding 6.6 three-pointers per game (100th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 33.3% (148th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Longhorns are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 contests. Texas has hit the over in five of its past 10 games. Texas has seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 75.9 points per game in its last 10 contests, 3.1 points fewer than the 79 it has scored this year. Texas’ defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 73.4 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 69 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the Kansas Jayhawks

So far this year, seven out of Kansas’ 17 Big 12 games with an over/under have hit the over. On offense the Jayhawks are the 76th-ranked team in the country (76.1 points per game). On defense they are 120th (68 points allowed per game). In 2022-23, Kansas is 68th in college basketball in rebounds (33.7 per game) and 242nd in rebounds conceded (31.9).

In 2022-23 the Jayhawks are averaging 3.3 more points per game at home (78.8) than away (75.5). Kansas makes 7.1 3-pointers per game and shoots 34.9% from beyond the arc, ranking 214th and 150th, respectively, in college basketball. In 2022-23, the Jayhawks are 100th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (6.6 per game) and 60th in defensive 3-point percentage (31.6%).

The Jayhawks have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Kansas has hit the over five times. Kansas is posting 76.6 points per contest in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 76.1. The Jayhawks are ceding 69.1 points per contest in their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 68 points allowed.

Texas vs. Kansas Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Texas, and we predict that Kansas will cover the spread (Texas -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 149.5 points.

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How to bet Texas vs. Kansas

You can bet on Texas vs. Kansas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas vs. Kansas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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