Tennessee vs Missouri Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, February 11, 2023

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The Tennessee Volunteers (19-5, 8-3 SEC) welcome in the Missouri Tigers (18-6, 6-5 SEC) after victories in three home games in a row. It tips at 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 11, 2023.

Saturday’s game between the Volunteers and the Tigers sees the Volunteers as a double-digit favorite by 13 points. The matchup has a point total of 142.

Tennessee vs. Missouri Odds

Point Spread for Tennessee vs. Missouri

The spread for this matchup is set at 13 points, with sportsbooks listing Tennessee as the favorite.

Tennessee vs. Missouri Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -986 odds to pick up the win, while Missouri is listed at +630 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 142 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Thompson-Boling Arena

Tennessee vs. Missouri Betting Trends

Tennessee has played 24 games, with 13 wins against the spread. The Volunteers have been chosen as favorites in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (78.9%) in those games. Tennessee’s games this year have gone over the point total nine times in 23 opportunities (39.1%).

In Missouri’s 23 games this season, it has 12 wins against the spread. The Tigers are 4-6 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 40% of those games). Missouri has hit the over 56.5% of the time this year (13 of 23 games with a set point total).

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Tennessee vs. Missouri Key Players to Watch


Zakai Zeigler averages a team-best 5.2 assists per game. He is also posting 10.8 points and 3.1 rebounds, shooting 37.1% from the field and 32.0% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest. Santiago Vescovi averages 12.0 points and 2.8 assists per game — both team highs. He is also averaging 4.3 rebounds, shooting 38.8% from the field and 34.7% from downtown with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest. Olivier Nkamhoua paces his squad in rebounds per contest (5.1), and also averages 10.9 points and 2.0 assists. At the other end, he puts up 0.5 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Julian Phillips posts 9.3 points, 5.0 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he puts up 0.7 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.


Kobe Brown is the Tigers’ top scorer (16.3 points per game) and rebounder (6.1), and produces 2.7 assists. The Tigers get 14.1 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from D’Moi Hodge. The Tigers get 8.5 points, 1.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Nick Honor. Noah Carter gives the Tigers 9.5 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. He also puts up 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Tennessee Volunteers

In Tennessee’s 11 SEC games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total four times. The Volunteers are posting 72.0 points per game this season (166th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really thrived defensively, allowing only 55.0 points per game (best). Tennessee is allowing 28.7 boards per game this season (56th-ranked in college basketball), but it has thrived by averaging 37.3 rebounds per contest (sixth-best).

The Volunteers are scoring 76.2 points per game when playing at home. In away games, they are averaging 69.1 points per contest. Tennessee is making 7.6 threes per game (157th-ranked in college basketball). It owns a 32.4% shooting percentage (271st-ranked) from downtown. The Volunteers are dominating when it comes to defending against three-pointers, as they rank ninth-best in college basketball in threes allowed (5.1 per game) and best in three-point percentage allowed (22.8%).

The Volunteers are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. Four of Tennessee’s last 10 contests have gone over the total. Tennessee has seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 68.2 points per game in its last 10 contests, 3.8 points fewer than the 72.0 it has scored this year. The last 10 games have seen Tennessee concede 2.6 more points per game (57.6) than its season-long average (55.0).

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What you need to know about the Missouri Tigers

So far this season, six out of Missouri’s 11 SEC games with an over/under have hit the over. In 2022-23, the Tigers are 13th-best in college basketball on offense (82.0 points scored per game) and ranked 312th defensively (74.8 points conceded). In 2022-23, Missouri is 22nd-worst in college basketball in rebounds (28.4 per game) and 318th in rebounds conceded (33.7).

The Tigers are scoring more points at home (86.3 per game) than on the road (70.8). Missouri is the 20th-best squad in the country in 3-pointers made (9.4 per game) and 91st in 3-point percentage (35.9%). The Tigers are the 21st-worst team in the country in 3-pointers conceded (8.8 per game) and 267th in 3-point percentage defensively (35.0%).

The Tigers are 3-6-1 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Missouri has hit the over five times. In its past 10 games, Missouri is averaging 74.5 points per game, 7.5 fewer points than its season average (82.0). The Tigers are giving up 75.0 points per contest in their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 74.8 points allowed.

Tennessee vs. Missouri Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Tennessee, and we expect that Missouri will cover the spread (Tennessee -13). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 142 points.

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How to bet Tennessee vs. Missouri

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Missouri at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Missouri picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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